Andrew Mount's Racing Tips - 01.02.24

Andrew heads west to the jumps meeting at Ffos Las for his two recommended bets/trades on Thursday, February 1st.

FFOS LAS JOCKEYS

GAVIN SHEEHAN has a useful overall record at Ffos Las, scoring on 31 of his 145 mounts (21.4%) against an expected score of 26.25 (A/E = 1.18). His strike-rate improves to 31.9% (15 wins from 47 rides) on heavy going and he looks worth a buy at 32.5 in the Spreadex FFOS LAS JOCKEYS marker. WILLSBURG (1.30), the first of his six rides today, has attracted early support (7-2 from 6-1), as has SPITFIRE GIRL (12-1 from 16-1) in the 2.00. SLIP ROAD could benefit from the first-time cheekpieces in the 2.30 and pick up points, despite facing a tough rival in the shape of hat-trick seeker Tune In A Box, while REGARDE (3.00) is two from three since switched to fences. NO QUARTER ASKED (4.00) and ANOTHER LORD (4.30) complete the list and the first-named, though just one from 28 in his career, has realistic prospects of second place, a position he’s achieved in both starts on heavy going for his current yard including one when 66-1 at today’s venue.

Recommendation: Buy GAVIN SHEEHAN in Ffos Las Jockeys

FFOS LAS 4.30

MUMBLES, the 11-10 favourite with Spreadex at the time of writing, won by a wide margin at Chepstow on his latest assignment but the time was nothing special and this 2m novices’ limited handicap hurdle might prove deeper than the early market suggests. The most interesting each-way play (or buy in the Spreadex 50-30-20-10 market) is the Nigel Hawke-trained 9-1 shot MY GRANNY LILY, who reverts to hurdles after an early fall at Ludlow on her chase debut eight weeks ago. The six-year-old was a big eyecatcher in a 2m mares’ handicap hurdle at Taunton in January of last year, finishing third to course expert Sawpit Sienna despite racing in the ‘swamp’ on the inside rail. She ran only once more than season, failing to see out 2m3.5f when third at Bangor and ran a similar race on her reappearance when a 20-1 fourth over 2m3f at Warwick. The cut back in trip looks ideal and she’ll handle the very slow ground.

Recommendation: Back MY GRANNY LILY in Ffos Las 4.30

Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Spreadex.