Preview
Written by Yaro Pavlenko
Spreadex Sports previews the upcoming 2025/26 UEFA Champions League fixture between Qarabag and Chelsea. Who will come out on top in Azerbaijan?
When is Qarabag v Chelsea? Wednesday, November 5th 2025.
What time is kick-off for Qarabag v Chelsea?5.45pm, UK time.
Where is Qarabag v Chelsea being played? Tofiq Bahramov Stadium, Baku.
How can I watch Qarabag v Chelsea? Live on TNT Sports from 5.45pm.
After an important league victory on Sunday against rivals Spurs, Chelsea face the long trip to Azerbaijan to take on Qarabag in Baku, where the hosts will be looking to leverage home advantage as the underdogs.
In terms of Champions League form, both sides have secured two wins from their opening three fixtures, and have the common denominator of both defeating Benfica so far, with Chelsea grabbing a 1-0 victory at Stamford Bridge while Qarabag grabbed a statement 3-2 win in Portugal having been 2-0 down.
Will the Blues make their quality count here, or can the Azerbaijani side spring another surprise and further boost their hopes of qualifying to the next stage?
LOSS: Athletic Bilbao 3-1 Qarabag. Wednesday 22nd October 2025.WIN: Qarabag 2-0 Copenhagen. Wednesday 1st October 2025WIN: Benfica 2-3 Qarabag. Tuesday 16th September 2025
WIN: Chelsea 5-1 Ajax. Wednesday 22nd October 2025.WIN: Chelsea 1-0 Benfica. Tuesday 30th September 2025.LOSS: Bayern 3-1 Chelsea. Wednesday 17th September 2025.
To see all the Qarabag v Chelsea betting stats and form, visit our pricing page to view our Pre-Match betting stats table or hover over/tap the chart image to see previous outcomes for that particular market.
The Spreadex Sports fixed odds Match Odds betting prices have Chelsea as heavy 1/3 favourites to secure an away victory while our 2 Up early pay out market, which pays out when a team goes two goals up, has the Blues at 3/10.
Qarabag are available at odds of 13/2 to secure a shock win in front of their own fans (11/2 on our 2 Up market), with the draw at 9/2.
These sides have met only twice before, and it doesn't make pretty reading for the home side. The two previous meetings came in the 2017/18 UCL group stage and Qarabag lost both games by a 10-0 aggregate scoreline, as part of a seven-match losing run against English opposition.
Will that trend continue here?
Our football spread betting prices have the Goal Supremacy as Chelsea/Qarabag 1.5 - 1.7. This means if Chelsea won 4-0 (or by any other four goal margin), a 'buy' bet at 1.7 would mean a return of 2.3x your initial stake.
However, if you bought at 1.7 in Chelsea's favour and the match ended goalless, you would lose 1.7x your stake. Or, if Qarabag were to grab a 1-0 (or any other single goal margin) win, the market would settle negatively at -1 and a buy at 1.7 would result in a loss of 2.7x your opening stake.
You can calculate various make-ups by using our handy spread betting calculator, found here.
Our spread betting Total Goals line is 3.25 - 3.45. So a 3.45 'buy' bet would need at least four goals to be scored in the match to start turning a profit. Conversely, a 3.25 sell bet would need less than three goals to be scored in the match to turn a profit.
Remember that with spread betting, get the bet wrong and losses can exceed your stake/deposit. E.g. a 3.45 'buy' Total Goals bet would lose 3.45x your opening stake if the match ended 0-0, and so on.
Based on the statistics, markets related to Goals may be of particular interest to football punters. Just two of Qarabag’s last eight competitive matches saw both teams score, whereas Chelsea have seen both teams score in five of their last eight. Which trend will prevail here? Both to Score - Yes is available at 8/11, while No is 21/20.
Qarabag have scored 2+ goals in four of their last five European home outings, while the pre-match Qarabag Total Goal Minutes spread is 41 - 49. Would you buy or sell?
Chelsea have scored six of their seven UCL goals this season before half-time. - our 1st Chelsea Goal (Time) spread is 36-39.
None of Chelsea’s last 51 European fixtures ended goalless, but you can back that result finally occurring here at 14/1.
In terms of Price Boosts, you can back Estevao 1+ Assist at 3/1 (WAS 13/5), Marc Guiu 2+ Shots on Target at 6/5 (WAS 21/20) and more!
Make sure to check out the match pricing page closer to kick-off for the most up-to-date odds on specials and Price Boosts.
Spreadex offers football spread betting prices on Qarabag v Chelsea, as well as traditional sportsbook/fixed odds prices.
Some of these markets include options such as Player Goal Minutes (the aggregate minutes of the goals scored by a named player in a match), Total Goal Minutes (the aggregate of the minutes of all goals scored in a match), Shirt Numbers (the aggregate of the shirt numbers of all goalscorers in a match), Bookings Points (based on 10 points per yellow, 25 per red), Corners, Time of 1st Match Goal, Match Performance and many, many more.
See our football spread betting education centre to see examples of how spread betting works, watch short explainer videos and try interactive betting widgets to see how win or loss levels work on different bets.
Remember that with spread betting, get the bet wrong and losses can exceed your stake/deposit so it's important you understand how each market works before setting an appropriate stake size for your bet.
Visit our football spread betting education area here.
Please note that this preview is not designed to offer any betting advice or suggestions. All prices quoted correct as of 1pm Tuesday 4th October.
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