Get our weekly sports email:

Spreadex betting blog

Wednesday, October 07, 2015
Connor Campbell - Market Analyst at Spreadex

Sports Blog 07/10/2015: Formula 1 Preview – Russian Grand Prix, Friday 9th to Sunday 11th October

Whilst the Mexican Grand Prix (to be the 17th race of the season) has had to wait for 13 years for a return, racing fans in Russia had to wait 100 years for Formula 1 to come back to the Great Bear. 2014 saw the first Russian Grand Prix, held at the (built for the Winter Olympics) Sochi Autodrom, since 1914, and, somewhat unsurprisingly, was won by Lewis Hamilton.

That Sochi-victory was part of Hamilton’s career-best run of 5 consecutive wins, a run that helped him secure the 2014 F1 title, and a record he could beat if he wins the final 5 races of the season. The Brit won his 8th grand prix of the season at the end of September, his victory in Japan a quick rebound from his retirement in Singapore, leaving him at as an emphatic 1/50 odds on favourite for the championship.

That win sets up a potentially record-breaking end to the season for Hamilton. Victory in each of the final 5 races (with the Brit at a Race Index spread of 62-66 going into the Russian weekend) would see him not only surpass his own aforementioned consecutive wins personal best, but equal the 13 wins in a season record shared by Michael Schumacher (in 2004) and Sebastian Vettel (in 2013).

Formula 1 Russian Grand Prix Race Index Race Winner Fixed Odds October 7th

That may sound a tall order, but Hamilton managed to win 6 of the 7 final races in 2014, with a 2nd place finish in Brazil the only blot on an otherwise spotless record. The addition of a race at the unfamiliar Autodromo Hermanos Rodriquez in Mexico (where Hamilton could clinch the championship if he is victorious in Russia) may complicate matters, but with the title all but won the Brit will be gunning for some records of his own.

The man that could stand in Hamilton’s way is his Mercedes teammate Nico Rosberg. At 229 points to Hamilton’s 277 (and at Drivers’ Season Points Index spreads of 314-318 and 380-384 respectively) Rosberg has been in the shadow of his frenemy for the past 2 seasons, only managed to steal 1st place finishes in Spain, Monaco and Austria this season. The German was runner-up in the inaugural race in Sochi last year, and will be aiming to go one better, at a Race Index spread of 50-54.

The only driver to win a race outside of the Mercedes duo is Sebastian Vettel, at a Race Index spread of 42-46 and at an outsider’s 25/1 to win the championship (Rosberg is at 20/1). Vettel is breathing down Rosberg’s neck on the Drivers’ Season Points Index, with a spread of 306-310, and sits a mere 11 points behind his German countryman, with his victories in Malaysia, Hungary and, most recently, Singapore equalling Rosberg’s 1st place finishes.

Beyond that top 3 are the handful of drivers who have managed a podium finish this season. Kimi Raikkonen, coming in 3rd in Singamore, is at a Race Index spread of 29-32, whilst Valtteri Bottas, getting the bronze in Russia last year, is at 24-27. Daniel Ricciardo and Daniil Kvyat, the only non-Hamilton/Rosberg/Vettel drivers to finish 2nd in a race this season, are at Race Index spreads of 20-23 and 17-20 respectively, whilst Felipe Massa is at 23-26 and Romain Grosjean is at 6-8.

Recent posts:
Super League Grand Final: Wigan Warriors vs Leeds Rhinos preview
Seattle Seahawks vs Detroit Lions preview
Premier League 3rd-4th October preview
Rugby World Cup: England vs Australia preview
UEFA Champions League 29th September preview

Find out more about sports spread betting

View our helpful video guide here to find out more about sports spread betting.

We also have video guides to help you find out more about football spread betting, to find out more about cricket spread betting and to find out more about spread betting on horse racing.


Spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. It may not be suitable for everyone so please ensure you fully understand the risks involved.

Spreadex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, provides an execution only service and does not provide advice in any way. Nothing within this blog should be deemed to constitute the provision of investment advice, recommendations, any other professional advice in any way, or a record of our trading prices. This blog does not constitute or form part of an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefore. Any persons placing trades based on their interpretation of the comments or information within this blog does so entirely at their own risk.

No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained within this blog by Spreadex Ltd or any of its employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinions. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained within this blog.

The information contained within this blog is the intellectual property of Spreadex Ltd and is protected by UK and International copyright laws. All rights reserved. Users may however freely download, distribute and reproduce extracts of the contents, subject always to accrediting Spreadex Ltd as the source and providing a hyperlink to