Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 09/03/26
Monday 09 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
CPI Month on Month (China) |
|
0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| 01:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -1.2% | -0.9% |
| 07:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-1.9% | 1.0% | -0.5% |
| 23:30 | 
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
-2.6% | 1.2% | |
| 23:50 | 
|
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Tuesday 10 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 | 
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
2.3% | 0.7% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
17.1Bln EU | 15.7Bln EU | 21.2Bln EU |
| 07:45 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-4.843Bln EU | -1.843Bln EU | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -1.6% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 14:00 | 
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
3.91Mln | 3.89Mln | 4.09Mln |
Wednesday 11 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 3.475Mln | 1.055Mln | 3.824Mln |
Thursday 12 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.31Bln CA | -0.90Bln CA | -3.65Bln CA |
| 12:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.404Mln | 1.348Mln | 1.487Mln |
| 12:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-70.3Bln US | -66.6Bln US | -54.5Bln US |
Friday 13 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-22.724Bln GB | -22.200Bln GB | -14.449Bln GB |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-10.994Bln GB | -3.461Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.9% | 0.2% | -0.1% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.4% | 0.3% | -0.6% |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
3.2% | 0.8% | -0.6% |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
1.2% | 1.4% | -1.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -1.4% | 0.6% | -1.5% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 12:30 |
|
Durable Goods | -1.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.2% | 2.7% |
Monday 16 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.9% | 2.5% | |
| 12:15 |
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
238.0k | 252.5k | |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.3% | 1.9% | |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
2.6% | ||
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.2% | ||
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.7% | |
| 13:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.1% |
Tuesday 17 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
3.85% | 4.10% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.6% | 1.6% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.6% | |||
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-65.9 | -67.1 | |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
58.3 | 38.7 | |
| 14:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.8% | -0.5% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1152.7Bln JP | -483.2Bln JP | |
| 23:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
-2.5% | 11.5% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
16.8% | 1.6% |
Wednesday 18 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 1.9% | |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 13:45 |
|
BoC Rate Decision | 2.25% | |||
| 14:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 3.824Mln | |||
| 18:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.625% | 3.625% |
Thursday 19 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.2% | |
| 04:30 |
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
2.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
4.2% | 3.9% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
5.2% | 5.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
28.6k | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 5 | 7 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
3.75% | 3.75% | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 4 | 2 | ||
| 12:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
16.3 | 9.0 | |
| 13:15 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
2.15% | 2.15% | |
| 14:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.745Mln | 0.720Mln |
Friday 20 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-3.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-2.447Bln EU | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
12.6Bln EU | ||
| 12:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
5.4% | ||
| 12:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
2.7% |
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