Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 27/04/26
Monday 27 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-28.1 | -29.3 | -33.3 |
| 08:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-28.0 | -29.3 | -33.3 |
Tuesday 28 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
| 10:00 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 4.4% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.7% | 4.2% | |
| 15:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
91.8 | 89.0 | 92.8 |
Wednesday 29 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.6% | 4.2% | +4.1% |
| 02:30 |
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 1.4% | +1.4% |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | -35.0 | -30.3 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 92.6 | 91.2 | 90.8 | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.27 | -0.28 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-7.0 | -7.2 | -7.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
96.6 | 95.2 | 93.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-20.6 | -20.6 | -20.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
4.9 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.60% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Durable Goods | -1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.356Mln | 1.400Mln | 1.502Mln |
| 14:45 | 
|
BoC Rate Decision | 2.25% | 2.25% | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 1.925Mln | -0.231Mln | -6.234Mln | |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.625% | 3.625% | 3.50 - 3.75% |
Thursday 30 April
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | 0.8% | +1.7% |
| 00:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -2.0% | 1.1% | -0.5% | |
| 02:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.4 | 50.1 | 50.3 |
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
33.3 | 32.2 | |
| 06:30 | 
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.7% | 0.5% | -2.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | -0.1% | -2.0% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | +2.0% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
0k | 4k | 20k |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 09:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| 12:00 | 
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 8 | 8 | |
| 13:15 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 15:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.8% | 2.9% |
Friday 01 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.9 | 55.1 | ||
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.5% | +3.0% | |
| 02:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.8% | +0.4% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.9% | -0.3% | 0.4% |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.6 | 53.6 | 53.7 | |
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.0 | 53.3 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
52.7 | 53.0 | 52.7 |
Monday 04 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.3 | 51.9 | ||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.8 | 52.8 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.2 | 51.2 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.2 | 52.2 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.0% | 0.5% |
Tuesday 05 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.10% | 4.35% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-5.74Bln CA | -3.00Bln CA | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-57.3Bln US | -60.5Bln US | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
60.6 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.0 | 53.7 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
53.9 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.587Mln | 0.650Mln | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
45.2 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
70.7 |
Wednesday 06 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.7% | 0.5% | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 48.8 | 47.9 | ||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 46.5 | 46.5 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 46.9 | 46.9 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 47.4 | 47.4 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.00% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 48.6 | 48.6 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.60% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 52.0 | 52.0 | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-3.0% | 1.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
62k | 99k | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -6.234Mln |
Thursday 07 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-5.778Bln EU | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | -0.3% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.7% | 0.9% |
Friday 08 May
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
19.8Bln EU | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.3% | 4.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.7% | 6.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
178k | 60k |
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