Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 16/03/26
Monday 16 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% |
| 12:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
238.0k | 252.5k | 250.9k |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.7% | +0.5% |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.3% | 1.9% | +1.8% |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
2.6% | +2.3% | |
| 12:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.2% | +0.4% | |
| 13:15 | 
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Tuesday 17 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
3.85% | 4.10% | 4.1% |
| 09:00 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | |
| 10:00 | 
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
58.3 | 39.0 | -0.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-65.9 | -67.3 | -62.9 |
| 14:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.8% | -0.5% | +1.8% |
| 23:50 | 
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
16.8% | 1.6% | 4.2% |
| 23:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
-2.5% | 11.5% | 10.2% |
| 23:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1152.7Bln JP | -483.2Bln JP | 57.3Bln JP |
Wednesday 18 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | 
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.7% | +0.6% |
| 12:30 |
|
PPI Final Demand Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| 12:30 |
|
PPI excl Food and Energy MM |
|
0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 12:30 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year |
|
2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% |
| 13:45 |
|
BoC Rate Decision | 2.25% | 2.25% | ||
| 14:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 3.824Mln | 0.383Mln | 6.156Mln | |
| 18:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.625% | 3.625% | 3.500 - 3.750% |
Thursday 19 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | +4.3% |
| 04:30 |
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
2.2% | 4.3% | |
| 07:00 | 
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
28.6k | +24.7k | |
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 5 | 7 | 9 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
3.75% | 3.75% | 3.75% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
16.3 | 10.0 | 18.1 |
| 13:15 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% |
| 14:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.745Mln | 0.720Mln | 0.587Mln |
Friday 20 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.3% | -0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-3.0% | -2.7% | -3.3% |
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-2.447Bln EU | -1.138Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
12.6Bln EU | -1.9Bln EU | |
| 12:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
5.4% | 5.4% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 1.5% | +1.1% |
| 12:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Monday 23 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
1.5% | ||
| 23:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
2.0% |
Wednesday 25 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.8% | 3.7% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.9% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.2% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.0% | |
| 08:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 9.8 | |||
| 09:00 |
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
90.5 | 85.8 | |
| 12:30 |
|
Current Account Balance |
|
-226.4Bln US | -211.0Bln US | |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 6.156Mln |
Thursday 26 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-24.7 | -26.5 | |
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
91 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 97.4 |
Friday 27 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-19 | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.5% | 2.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.8% | -0.8% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
55.5 | 53.8 | |
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
57.8 | ||
| 14:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
54.1 |
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