Andrew Mount's Racing Tips 12.05.23

NOTTINGHAM 8.05

At the time of writing, LOOK BACK SMILING was the 11-1 outsider of four in the Spreadex fixed odds betting for this 1m2f handicap but Gemma Tutty’s son of Fast Company looks worth a punt now back on turf. His sire’s progeny have a great record on officially soft or heavy going on the Flat, landing 124 of their 897 starts (13.8%) for a profit of £75.26 to a £1 level stake at SP. Those figures include a ten from 31 haul at Nottingham for a profit of £31.25. The three-year-old has only raced on deep ground on one occasion, finishing third to Promoter and Racingbreaks Ryder in a 7f novice contest at Chepstow last September when trained by Ed Dunlop. That pair are both rated 90 and the latter will be even higher if he completes a four-timer in the opener at Ascot today. Look Back Smiling, a winner at Newcastle on his penultimate start, runs off a mark of just 73 and it’s worth taking a chance on his stamina. Buy in the Spreadex 50-25-10 market or take a fixed odds price.

Recommendation: Back LOOK BACK SMILING in Nottingham 8.05

NOTTINGHAM 8.40 – DOUBLE NUMBER OF WINNER

In the past 25 years, trainer John Quinn has won with just one of his 86 first-time blinkered runners and backing them all would have returned a loss of £78.00 to a £1 level stake at SP. Six-race maiden CLOSE QUARTERS is bred to appreciate the very slow conditions but the first-time headgear is a negative and she’s worth taking on. It’s also possible that another fancied runner – DANDY SPIRIT – will be vulnerable under a penalty for his Wetherby win. That was a good performance – he had the worst of the draw in stall 1 (they came stands’ side in the straight, favouring high draws) – but all five of his wins have come around a turn and the return to a straight track on deep ground looks far from idea. The above mentioned pair are numbers 1 and 2 on the racecard and a buy of DOUBLE NUMBER OF WINNER with Spreadex is the advice.

Recommendation: Buy DOUBLE NUMBER OF WINNER in Nottingham 8.40

Please note that the picks recommended in this blog post are based on past performance and should not be considered a guarantee for future winning outcomes, and it is important to remember that spread betting carries a high level of risk to your capital and can result in losses larger than your initial stake/deposit. The views within this preview are those of Andrew Mount, professional tipster and journalist, and not those of Spreadex.