Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 09/02/26


Monday 09 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
ILO Unemployment Rate ILO Unemployment Rate Chart 7.7% 7.7%
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart -1.7% -2.6%

Tuesday 10 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 1.0% +2.3%
ILO Unemployment Rate ILO Unemployment Rate Chart 7.7% 7.7% 7.9%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.2% +0.1%

Wednesday 11 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart 0.2% 0.3% +0.2%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -1.9% -1.5% -1.4%
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 1.5% -0.5% -0.4%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart 1.4% 3.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart 1.4% 3.2%
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 1.5% -0.5% -0.4%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.4% 4.4% 4.3%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 48K 66K 130K
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -3.455Mln 0.793Mln 8.530Mln

Thursday 12 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -23.711Bln GB -22.700Bln GB -22.724Bln GB
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
GDP Prelim Year on Year   1.3% 1.2% 1.0%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart 2.1% 1.8% 0.5%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 2.3% 1.5% 0.5%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart 2.1% 0.0% -0.5%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 1.1% 0.0% -0.9%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -11.457Bln GB -10.994Bln GB
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 4.35Mln 4.18Mln 3.91Mln

Friday 13 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Flash estimate Year on Year   1.3% 1.3% 1.3%
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 9.9Bln EU 12.6Bln EU
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.7% 2.5% 2.4%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%

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