Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 30/03/26


Monday 30 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -1.6% -2.7%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.5% -0.4%
Money Supply M4   -0.1% 0.6%
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 98.3 96.8 96.6
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -16.3 -16.3 -16.3
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -7.1 -8.0 -7.0
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 5.0 3.9 4.9
Business Climate Business Climate Chart -0.36 -0.27
CPI Final Month on Month   0.2% 1.1% 1.1%

Tuesday 31 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.7% 2.7% 2.6%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.8% 0.8% -0.2%
Industrial Production Prelim   4.3% -2.1% -2.1%
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 49.0 50.1 50.4
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.9% 0.2% -0.6%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 1.0% 0.8% 2.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.2% 1.6% 0.7%
GDP Final Year on Year   1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Current Account Current Account Chart -12.067Bln GB -23.400Bln GB -18.392Bln GB
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.3% -0.1% 0.9%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% -0.2%
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart 1k 2k 0k
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.0% 0.1%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 91.2 88.0 91.8

Wednesday 01 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index Chart 34 33 36
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Tankan Big Manufacturers Index Chart 15 16 17
PMI Manufacturing   51.4 51.6
PMI Manufacturing   50.6 50.9 51.3
PMI Manufacturing   50.2 50.2 50.0
PMI Manufacturing   51.7 51.7 52.2
Unemployment Rate   5.1% 5.3% 5.3%
PMI Manufacturing   51.4 51.4 51.6
PMI Manufacturing   51.4 51.4 51.0
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.1% 6.1% 6.2%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 63k 40k 62k
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.0% 0.3% 0.5%
Retail Sales Month on Month   -0.2% 0.5% 0.6%
PMI Manufacturing   51.0 50.0
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 52.4 52.5 52.7
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% -0.1%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   6.926Mln 0.814Mln 5.451Mln

Thursday 02 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.9%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.2%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.60% 0.00%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.30% 1.60%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -3.65Bln CA -2.25Bln CA -5.74Bln CA
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -54.5Bln US -61.0Bln US -57.3Bln US
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart -0.1%

Friday 03 April

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.2%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.9%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.5% 0.0% -0.7%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart -92k 60k 178k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.4% 4.4% 4.3%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart -0.1%

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