Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 19/10/26
Monday 19 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | 
|
China GDP Year on Year |
|
4.3% | 4.4% | +4.5% |
| 03:00 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| 13:30 | 
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
2.4% | +2.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.2% | +3.1% |
Tuesday 20 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
| 07:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
27.8k | +30.3k | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.1% | 1.5% | +1.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-47.1 | -45.0 | -35.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
34.7 | 30.0 | 28.1 |
| 13:30 | 
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.275Mln | 1.301Mln | 1.221Mln |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.5% | -7.3% |
Wednesday 21 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
28.0% | 19.6% | 18.9% |
| 00:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1111.9Bln JP | -181.0Bln JP | -536.6Bln JP |
| 00:50 |
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
19.3% | 20.1% | 16.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.7% | 2.9% | |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -8.557Mln | -0.820Mln | -3.060Mln | |
| 22:45 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 22:45 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
Thursday 22 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
1.3% | +2.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
13.5% | 14.5% |
Friday 23 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-13 | -15 | -24 |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
1.9% | 2.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.5% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.7% | 1.3% | +1.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
46.3 | 46.3 | 48.0 |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
44.7 | 46.7 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
47.3 | 48.8 |
Monday 26 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
90.4 | 90.0 |
Tuesday 27 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
86 | 85 | |
| 12:30 |
|
Durable Goods | -0.1% | 1.5% | ||
| 14:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
81.9 | 81.0 | |
| 14:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.684Mln | 0.650Mln |
Wednesday 28 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
4.0% | 3.9% | |
| 01:00 |
|
RBNZ Rate Decision |
|
2.75% | 3.00% | |
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-30.6 | -31.0 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 2.6 | |||
| 10:00 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
10.9% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
2.4% | ||
| 13:45 |
|
BoC Rate Decision | 2.25% | 2.50% | ||
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -3.060Mln | |||
| 18:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.875% | 3.875% |
Thursday 29 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
35.4 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 6.2% | 6.2% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.4% | |||
| 10:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-17.9 | -17.9 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-3.8 | -3.8 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
6.1 | 5.9 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
97.9 | 97.8 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.06 | ||
| 11:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 91.2 | |||
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.1% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
3.4% | 3.6% | |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.6% | ||
| 13:15 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
2.65% | 2.65% | |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.9% | ||
| 23:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 3.3% | |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -2.4% | 1.3% |
Friday 30 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.6% | ||
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
1.3% | ||
| 06:30 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
0.8% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.0% | ||
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
12k | 8k | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.2% | 0.1% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 0.9% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | |
| 12:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.00% |
Saturday 31 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.1 |
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