Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 15/06/26


Monday 15 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.6%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 1.7%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.080Bln EU
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.2% 0.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -2.1% 0.4%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 7.8Bln EU
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 279.3k 255.1k
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.3%

Tuesday 16 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.2% 0.0%
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 4.35% 4.35%
CPI Final Year on Year   3.3% 3.3%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.4% 0.4%
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart -10.2 -6.0
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart -77.8 -77.5
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.465Mln 1.430Mln

Wednesday 17 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 9.7% 12.8%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 301.9Bln JP -564.6Bln JP
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 14.8% 16.2%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.8% 3.0%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.4%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.4%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.7%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.7% 0.6%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 3.0% 3.4%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 1.0% 0.1%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.2% 3.2%
Retail Sales Month on Month   0.5% 0.5%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   0.7% 0.5%
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 1.4% 0.8%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.9% 0.5%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -7.227Mln
FOMC Rate Decision   3.625% 3.625%

Thursday 18 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 4.1% 4.0%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart 26.5k
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 5.0% 5.0%
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   1 2
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 3.75% 3.75%
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   8 7
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 2.0%
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart -0.4 12.0
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 11.4%

Friday 19 June

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -23 -25
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.4%
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 1.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -1.3% 0.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 1.7% 2.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.2% 0.7%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.0% 1.8%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.9% 0.6%

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