Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 15/06/26
Monday 15 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 09:00 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.080Bln EU | +0.316Bln EU | |
| 10:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
7.8Bln EU | -1.0Bln EU | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
279.3k | 255.0k | 261.4k |
| 14:15 | 
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Tuesday 16 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.2% | 0.0% | -0.6% |
| 05:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.35% | 4.35% | 4.35% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.7% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | |
| 10:00 | 
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
-10.2 | -6.0 | 10.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
-77.8 | -78.0 | -81.0 |
| 13:30 |
|
Housing Starts |
|
1.465Mln | 1.430Mln | 1.177Mln |
Wednesday 17 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Exports Year on Year |
|
14.8% | 16.2% | 17% |
| 00:50 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
301.9Bln JP | -564.6Bln JP | -378.7Bln JP |
| 00:50 |
|
Imports Year on Year |
|
9.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) |
|
0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.4% | 2.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
RPI Month on Month |
|
0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Pending Home Sales Month on Month |
|
1.4% | 0.8% | +3.8% |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -7.227Mln | -4.566Mln | -8.263Mln | |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.625% | 3.625% | 3.50 - 3.75% |
Thursday 18 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
26.5k | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
4.1% | 4.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
5.0% | 5.0% | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
3.75% | 3.75% | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 1 | 2 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 8 | 7 | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Philadelphia Fed Business Index |
|
-0.4 | 10.0 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
11.4% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
2.0% | 1.8% |
Friday 19 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-23 | -24 | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year |
|
1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Overall Nationwide |
|
1.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.2% | 0.7% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.0% | 1.9% | |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
1.7% | 2.5% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.9% | 0.6% |
Monday 22 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 |
|
CPI BoC Core Year on Year |
|
2.1% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
2.8% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Boc Core Month on Month |
|
0.2% |
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