Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 07/09/26

Monday 07 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.1% -1.1%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 0.0% 0.1% -0.2%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 1.0% 1.0% 1.2%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.6%

Tuesday 08 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 1.0% +0.5%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.4% 0.4%
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart 6.0% -5.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 15.4Bln EU 15.9Bln EU +21.3Bln EU
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -5.847Bln EU -6.669Bln EU
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86

Wednesday 09 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart -0.1% 0.3% 0.4%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 3.5% 3.6% 3.8%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.1% 0.2% -0.4%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86

Thursday 10 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.90% 2.9% 2.9%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 86
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart -1.0% 0.3% 0.7%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart -0.6% -0.6% 0.0%
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 2.40% 2.65% 2.65%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.4% 0.4%
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 4.7% 5.3% 5.4%
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 4.06Mln 3.98Mln 3.98Mln
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -4.450Mln -1.554Mln

Friday 11 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -0.5% 0.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -0.2% 0.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -23.007Bln GB -22.300Bln GB
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart 0.5% 2.0%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -0.2% -0.2%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -10.448Bln GB
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 3.4% 3.4%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.1% 0.4%

Monday 14 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart 0.1%
CPI Boc Core Month on Month CPI Boc Core Month on Month Chart 0.2%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.0%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.5%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 2.3%

Tuesday 15 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.6% 0.8%
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 4.9%
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart -11.0k
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 4.1%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.7% 2.7%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.8%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 1.577Bln EU
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart 34.2 37.0
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart -61.1 -53.0
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 8.6Bln EU

Wednesday 16 September

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 23.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -634.5Bln JP
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 27.8%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 3.2%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.8%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 2.9%
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.3%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.6%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.6%
CPI Final Month on Month   0.1%
CPI Final Year on Year   3.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 0.1%
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.0% -0.7%
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 229.1k
Retail Sales Month on Month   -0.6%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   -0.3%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.0%
FOMC Rate Decision   3.625% 3.625%

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