Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 05/10/26

Monday 05 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 35.5 35.4
PMI Services   55.2 54.5 51.7
PMI Services   51.4 51.4 51.2
PMI Services   52.9 52.9 52.9
PMI Composite   53.1 53.1 53.1
PMI Services   53.0 53.0 53.0
PMI Services   51.7 51.7 52.1
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 5.8% 8.1% 8.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.6% 1.9% 1.9%
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 61.7 56.5
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 60.9 59.8
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 55.4 55.2 54.9
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 72.6 74.0
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 47.8 50.1

Tuesday 06 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Sentiment Consumer Sentiment Chart -5.2% -4.7%
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.4% 0.2% -0.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 0.6% 1.0% 0.8%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 0.77Bln CA 1.55Bln CA 4.20Bln CA
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -88.6Bln US -102.0Bln US -105.6Bln US

Wednesday 07 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.1% 0.5% 2.0%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart -0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.669Bln EU -6.122Bln EU
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   0.922Mln 1.722Mln -3.186Mln

Thursday 08 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 21.3Bln EU 19.0Bln EU 19.5Bln EU

Friday 09 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.7% 0.0% -1.3%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart 0.0% 0.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.4% 6.5% 6.5%

Tuesday 13 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 0.5%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.30% 3.3%
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 3.98Mln 3.96Mln

Wednesday 14 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 3.8% 4.5%
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart 0.4% 0.3%
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 3.4% 3.7%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.4% 0.6%

Thursday 15 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.6% 4.6%
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart -1.7%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.1%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart 2.6% 2.4%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -9.663Bln GB
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart 0.9% -0.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -20.965Bln GB
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 0.6% 0.7%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.4%
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.1% 0.0%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 0.0% -0.1%
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart 37.8 27.8
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 5.4% 5.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month   1.2% 0.3%
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.5%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   1.4% 0.5%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart 0.2% 0.3%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.4%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -3.186Mln

Friday 16 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Final Year on Year   4.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 14.2Bln EU
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.8% 3.8%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.6%
CPI Final Month on Month   2.0%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 1.251Bln EU
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 229.0k 237.5k
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.4%

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