Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 12/10/26

Tuesday 13 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 0.5% 1.0%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.30% 3.3% 3.3%
Existing Home Sales Existing Home Sales Chart 3.98Mln 3.95Mln 3.99Mln

Wednesday 14 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 3.8% 4.5% 5.0%
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
CPI Year on Year (nsa) CPI Year on Year (nsa) Chart 3.4% 3.6% 3.7%
CPI Month on Month (sa) CPI Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.4% 0.6% 0.6%

Thursday 15 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.6% 4.6% 4.7%
Industrial Production Revised Industrial Production Revised Chart -1.7% -2.4%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -20.965Bln GB -21.800Bln GB -18.007Bln GB
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart 2.6% 2.3% 3.0%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.1% 0.8%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -9.663Bln GB -5.287Bln GB
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 0.6% 0.7% 1.6%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart 0.9% -0.1% 1.2%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% -0.4% -0.3%
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.1% 0.0% -0.5%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 0.0% -0.1% -1.1%
PPI excl Food and Energy MM PPI excl Food and Energy MM Chart 0.2% 0.3% 0.7%
PPI Core Year on Year PPI Core Year on Year Chart 5.4% 5.3% 6.3%
Philadelphia Fed Business Index Philadelphia Fed Business Index Chart 37.8 28.4 20.9
PPI Final Demand Month on Month PPI Final Demand Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.5% 1.3%
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month   1.4% 0.5% 0.9%
Retail Sales Month on Month   1.2% 0.3% 0.8%
Business Inventories Month on Month Business Inventories Month on Month Chart 0.8% 0.4% 0.4%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -3.186Mln -0.288Mln -8.557Mln

Friday 16 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Final Year on Year   4.1% 4.1% 4.2%
CPI Final Month on Month   2.0% 2.0% 2.1%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.6% 0.6%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.8% 3.8% 3.8%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 14.2Bln EU -16.1Bln EU
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 1.251Bln EU -0.327Bln EU
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 229.0k 232.5k 248.9k
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.4% 0.7%

Monday 19 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.4% 0.6%
China GDP Year on Year China GDP Year on Year Chart 4.3% 4.4%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.0% 3.2%
CPI BoC Core Year on Year CPI BoC Core Year on Year Chart 2.4%

Tuesday 20 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Claimant Count Unemployment Change Claimant Count Unemployment Change Chart 27.8k
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 4.6%
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year Chart 3.9% 3.8%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 1.1%
Unemployment Rate (ILO) Unemployment Rate (ILO) Chart 4.9% 4.9%
ZEW Current Conditions ZEW Current Conditions Chart -47.1 -45.0
ZEW Economic sentiment ZEW Economic sentiment Chart 34.7 32.0
Housing Starts Housing Starts Chart 1.275Mln 1.305Mln
Pending Home Sales Month on Month Pending Home Sales Month on Month Chart 0.3% -0.5%

Wednesday 21 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Imports Year on Year Imports Year on Year Chart 28.0% 19.6%
Exports Year on Year Exports Year on Year Chart 19.3% 20.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1111.9Bln JP -181.0Bln JP
CPI Month on Month CPI Month on Month Chart 0.5%
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 3.1% 3.4%
PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) PPI Core Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.7%
RPI Month on Month RPI Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.1%
PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) PPI Core Month on Month (nsa) Chart 0.3%
RPI Year on Year RPI Year on Year Chart 3.4%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -8.557Mln
CPI Year on Year CPI Year on Year Chart 4.1%
CPI Quarter on Quarter CPI Quarter on Quarter Chart 1.5%

Thursday 22 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 13.5%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart 1.3%

Friday 23 October

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GFK Consumer Confidence GFK Consumer Confidence Chart -13
CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year CPI Core Nationwide Year on Year Chart 1.7% 2.1%
CPI Overall Nationwide CPI Overall Nationwide Chart 1.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.4% 1.0%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.5% -0.2%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.7% 1.3%
Univ Michigan Conditions Univ Michigan Conditions Chart 44.7
Univ Michigan Expectation Univ Michigan Expectation Chart 47.3
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 46.3 46.3

SEARCH FOR AN ARTICLE:

Enter a keyword and search for all relevant articles

MARKET ANALYSIS

RECENT POSTS

DISCLAIMER


Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 61% of retail investors lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. For professional clients, spread betting and CFD trading can also result in losses larger than your initial stake or deposit.

Spreadex Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority, provides an execution only service and does not provide advice in any way. Nothing within this update should be deemed to constitute the provision of investment advice, recommendations, any other professional advice in any way, or a record of our trading prices. This update does not constitute or form part of an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract therefore. Any persons placing trades based on their interpretation of the comments or information within this update does so entirely at their own risk.

No representation, warranty, or undertaking, express or limited, is given as to the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained within this update by Spreadex Ltd or any of its employees and no liability is accepted by such persons for the accuracy or completeness of any such information or opinions. As such, no reliance may be placed for any purpose on the information and opinions contained within this update.

The information contained within this update is the intellectual property of Spreadex Ltd and is protected by UK and International copyright laws. All rights reserved. Users may however freely download, distribute and reproduce extracts of the contents, subject always to accrediting Spreadex Ltd as the source and providing a hyperlink to www.spreadex.com.