Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 26/10/26
Monday 26 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | 
|
IFO Business Climate Expectations |
|
90.4 | 90.0 | 91.6 |
Tuesday 27 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
86 | 85 | 80 |
| 12:30 | 
|
Durable Goods | -0.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | |
| 14:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.684Mln | 0.650Mln | 0.676Mln |
| 14:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
81.9 | 81.0 | 91.7 |
Wednesday 28 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
CPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| 00:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year |
|
4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| 01:00 | 
|
RBNZ Rate Decision |
|
2.75% | 3.00% | 2.75% |
| 07:00 |
|
GFK Consumer Confidence |
|
-30.6 | -30.9 | -30.8 |
| 09:00 | 
|
ZEW Investor Sentiment | 2.6 | -15.3 | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
2.4% | 2.9% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
10.9% | 13.8% | |
| 13:45 | 
|
BoC Rate Decision | 2.25% | 2.50% | 2.50% | |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -3.060Mln | 0.015Mln | -1.892Mln | |
| 18:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 3.875% | 3.875% | 3.75 - 4.00% |
Thursday 29 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
35.4 | 35.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | |
| 09:30 | 
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | ||
| 10:00 | 
|
Services Sentiment |
|
6.1 | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
97.9 | 97.5 | 96.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-3.8 | -3.8 | -3.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-17.9 | -17.9 | -17.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.06 | 0.09 | |
| 11:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 91.2 | 90.9 | 90.3 | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 12:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.0% | |
| 12:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% |
| 13:15 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
2.65% | 2.65% | 2.65% |
| 14:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.9% | 2.8% | |
| 23:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
| 23:50 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| 23:50 |
|
Industrial Production Prelim | -2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% |
Friday 30 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.6% | +3.6% | |
| 00:30 |
|
PPI Quarter on Quarter |
|
1.3% | +1.1% | |
| 06:30 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | -0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | -0.1% | 0.0% |
| 07:45 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.0% | +1.7% | |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
12k | 5k | 4k |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Flash Estimate Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% |
| 12:30 |
|
GDP Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.10% |
Saturday 31 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.1 | 50.0 |
Monday 02 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.3 | |||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.4% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.3% | 0.5% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.4 | |||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.3 | 49.3 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.2 | 54.2 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.4 | 52.4 | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.8 | |||
| 14:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.5 | |||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.5 |
Tuesday 03 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.60% | 4.85% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.1% |
Wednesday 04 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 51.7 | |||
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 48.4 | 48.4 | ||
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 51.7 | 51.7 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 51.7 | 51.7 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 51.9 | 51.9 | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 53.1 | |||
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
90k | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-105.6Bln US | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
4.20Bln CA | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
56.5 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
50.1 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
74.0 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
59.8 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.9 | ||
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -1.892Mln |
Thursday 05 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.3% | |||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.30% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
0.50% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.9% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
8.2% | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 6 | 2 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
3.75% | 4.00% | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 3 | 7 | ||
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 |
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