Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 01/12/14
Monday 01 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | |
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
50.8ip | 50.6ip | 50.3ip |
| 01:35 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 52.1 | 52.0 | ||
| 08:45 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 49.0ip | 49.4ip | 49.0ip | |
| 08:50 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 47.6ip | 47.6ip | 48.4ip | |
| 08:55 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 50.0ip | 50.0ip | 49.5ip | |
| 09:00 | |
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 50.4ip | 50.4ip | 50.1ip | |
| 09:00 | |
GDP Final Year on Year | -0.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% | |
| 09:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 53.2ip | 53.0ip | 53.5ip | |
| 14:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 55.3 | 55.3 | ||
| 15:00 | |
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
59.0ip | 57.8ip | 58.7ip |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 02 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | |
RBA Cash Rate |
|
2.50% | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| 10:00 | |
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| 10:00 | |
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 03 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | |
GDP Final Year on Year |
|
3.1% | 3.1% | +2.7% |
| 00:30 | |
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% | 0.7% | +0.3% |
| 08:45 | |
PMI Services | 50.8ip | 50.2ip | 51.8ip | |
| 08:50 | |
PMI Services | 48.8ip | 48.8ip | 47.9ip | |
| 08:55 | |
PMI Services | 52.1ip | 52.1ip | 52.1ip | |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Services | 51.3ip | 51.3ip | 51.1ip | |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Composite | 51.4ip | 51.4ip | 51.1ip | |
| 09:30 | |
PMI Services | 56.2ip | 56.5ip | 58.6ip | |
| 10:00 | |
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 10:00 | |
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| 13:15 | |
ADP employment report |
|
230k pers | 221k pers | 208.0k pers |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
52.1 | 54.4 | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
59.1 | 61.4 | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
60.0ip | 64.4ip | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
57.1ip | 57.5ip | 59.3ip |
| 15:00 | |
BoC Rate Decision | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.0% | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
59.6 | 56.7 |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 04 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | |
Imports |
|
6.0% | -2% | |
| 00:30 | |
Exports |
|
1.0% | +2% | |
| 00:30 | |
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-2261mln mo | -1900mln mo | -1323mln mo |
| 00:30 | |
Retail Sales |
|
1.2% | 0.0% | +0.4% |
| 06:30 | |
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
10.20% | 10.4% | |
| 08:00 | |
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-0.4% | 0.3% | +0.4% |
| 12:00 | |
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 12:00 | |
BoE QE Total | 375bln mo | 375bln mo | 375bln mo | |
| 12:45 | |
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.05% | 0.05% | 0.05% |
| 13:30 | |
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
313k pers | 295k pers | 297k pers |
Corporate Statements
Friday 05 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | |
GDP Revised Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% |
| 10:00 | |
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| 13:30 | |
Average Earnings |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.4% |
| 13:30 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-43.0bln mo | -41.4bln mo | -43.4bln mo |
| 13:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% |
| 13:30 | |
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
214k pers | 230k pers | 321k pers |
| 13:30 | |
Trade Balance |
|
0.71bln mo | 0.20bln mo | +0.10bln mo |
| 15:00 | |
Factory Orders |
|
-0.6% | 0.0% | -0.7% |
Corporate Statements
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