Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 01/02/16

Monday 01 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing (China) PMI Manufacturing (China) Chart 49.7 49.6 49.4
PMI Manufacturing   52.4 52.3
PMI Manufacturing   55.6 55.0 53.2
PMI Manufacturing   50.0 50.0 50.0
PMI Manufacturing   52.1 52.1 52.3
PMI Manufacturing   52.3 52.3 52.3
PMI Manufacturing   51.9 51.7 52.9
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.2% +0.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.3% +0.1%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.3% +1.4%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.0% -0.1%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 0.4% +0.6%
PMI Manufacturing   47.5 49.3
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 48.0 48.1 48.2
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.6% 0.9%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Aflac Inc, Anadarko, Cardinal Hlth, General Growth Prop
Flag of Great Britain
BT Group

Tuesday 02 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -14k -7k -20k
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.2%
Unemployment Rate   11.3% 11.2% 11.4%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.2% -0.6% -0.8%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -3.2% -2.8% -3.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 10.5% 10.5% 10.4%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
NWF Group, St.Modwen Properties
Flag of the USA
Archer Daniels, Baxter Intl Inc, Chipotle Mex Grill, Dow Chemical, Edwards Lifesciences, Emerson Electric, Exxon Mobil (All Sessions), Kimco Realty Cp, Pfizer Inc (All Sessions), United Parcel Service (All Sessions), Unum Group

Wednesday 03 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -2906mln AU -2500mln AU -3535mln AU
Imports Imports Chart -1.0% -1%
Exports Exports Chart 1.0% -5%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 42.7 42.5
PMI Services   55.3 54.2 53.6
PMI Services   50.6 50.6 50.3
PMI Services   55.4 55.4 55.0
PMI Composite   53.5 53.5 53.6
PMI Services   53.6 53.6 53.6
PMI Services   55.5 55.3 55.6
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.5% 1.4%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 257k 195k 205.0k
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 51.0 46.4
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 56.3 52.1
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 59.5 58.5 53.9
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 55.8 55.1 53.5
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 58.9 56.5

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Autonation Inc, Becton Dickinsn, CBL & Associates Properties, Crown Holdings Inc, General Motors (All Sessions), Imperva, International Paper, Lincoln Natl, Marathon Petroleum, MDU Resources, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Metlife Inc, Norfolk Southern, Spectra Energy, Torchmark Corp
Flag of Great Britain
Johnson Matthey, Xtract

Thursday 04 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 1.7% 0.3% +1.7%
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.50% 0.50% 0.5%
BoE QE Total   375bln GB 375bln GB
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   1 1 0
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   8 8 9
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 278k 280k 285k
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -0.2% -2.8% -2.9%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
AA Ltd, Astrazeneca, Compass Group
Flag of the USA
Beneficial Mutual Healthcare, Boston Scientific (All Sessions), Clorox Co, DeVry Inc., EQT Corporation, Hartford Finl, Linkedin, Marsh&McLennan, National Fuel Gas Co., NY Times, Occidental Petroleum, Philip Morris , Xylem

Friday 05 February

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.4% 0.5% 0%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -4.63bln EU -4.40bln EU -3.94bln EU
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -42.4bln $ -43.0bln $ -43.36bln $
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.0% 0.3% +0.5%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.0% 5.0% 4.9%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -1.99bln C$ -2.20bln C$ -0.59bln C$
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.1% 7.1% 7.2%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 292k 190k +151k

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Shaftesbury Capital
Flag of the USA
Moody's, USG Corp, Weyerhaeuser Co

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