Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 01/02/21
Monday 01 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.7 | 49.8 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.9% | -2.6% | -9.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
5.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.8 | 52.4 | 55.1 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.5 | 51.5 | 51.6 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 57.0 | 57.0 | 57.1 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.7 | 54.7 | 54.8 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.9 | 52.9 | 54.1 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 57.9 | 54.4 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
60.7 | 60.0 | 58.7 |
Tuesday 02 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.9% | 0.3% | -0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
-5.0% | -6.7% | -6.6% |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 15.9% | -2.2% | -2.0% |
Wednesday 03 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 39.7 | 39.5 | 44.7 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 46.5 | 46.5 | 47.3 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 46.8 | 46.8 | 46.7 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 47.5 | 47.5 | 47.8 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 45.0 | 45.0 | 45.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 38.8 | 38.8 | 39.5 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.9% | -1.2% | -1.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
-123k | 49k | 174k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
59.4 | 57.3 | 59.9 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
48.2 | 55.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
58.5 | 61.8 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
57.2 | 56.8 | 58.7 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
64.8 | 64.2 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -9.910Mln | 0.446Mln | -0.994Mln |
Thursday 04 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
5022Mln AU | 9000Mln AU | 6785Mln AU |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
3% | 3% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
10% | -2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-2.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-6.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 875Bln GB | 875Bln GB | 875Bln GB | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | 0.10% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
847k | 750k | 779k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% |
Friday 05 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
-4.2% | -4.2% | -4.1% |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-3.56Bln EU | -3.39Bln EU | |
| 08:30 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | -0.3% |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
-8.10% | -3.10% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-6.90% | 2.50% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-3.34Bln CA | -3.00Bln CA | -1.67Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-68.1Bln US | -65.7Bln US | -66.6Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
-140k | 50k | 49k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
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