Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 01/07/24
Monday 01 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | |
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
34 | 33 | 33 |
| 00:50 | |
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
11 | 12 | 13 |
| 01:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 50.1 | 50.0 | ||
| 06:00 | |
Consumer Confidence |
|
36.2 | 36.4 | |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.4% | -0.1% | 0.2% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% |
| 08:45 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 45.6 | 44.4 | 45.7 | |
| 08:50 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 45.3 | 45.3 | 45.4 | |
| 08:55 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 43.4 | 43.4 | 43.5 | |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 45.6 | 45.6 | 45.8 | |
| 09:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | 51.4 | 50.9 | |
| 09:30 | |
Money Supply M4 | 0.1% | -0.1% | ||
| 13:00 | |
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
48.7 | 49.1 | 48.5 |
Tuesday 02 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | |
Unemployment Rate | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | |
| 10:00 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| 14:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 49.3 | 49.3 |
Wednesday 03 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | |
Retail Sales |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.6% |
| 08:45 | |
PMI Services | 54.2 | 53.7 | 53.7 | |
| 08:50 | |
PMI Services | 48.8 | 48.8 | 49.6 | |
| 08:55 | |
PMI Services | 53.5 | 53.5 | 53.1 | |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Composite | 50.8 | 50.8 | 50.9 | |
| 09:00 | |
PMI Services | 52.6 | 52.6 | 52.8 | |
| 09:30 | |
PMI Services | 51.2 | 51.2 | 52.1 | |
| 10:00 | |
PPI Year on Year |
|
-5.7% | -4.1% | -4.2% |
| 10:00 | |
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| 13:15 | |
ADP employment report |
|
152k | 160k | 150k |
| 13:30 | |
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
233k | 235k | 238k |
| 13:30 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-1.05Bln CA | -1.20Bln CA | -1.93Bln CA |
| 13:30 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-74.6Bln US | -76.2Bln US | -75.1Bln US |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
54.1 | 47.3 | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.8 | 52.5 | 48.8 |
| 15:00 | |
Factory Orders |
|
0.7% | 0.2% | -0.5% |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
58.1 | 56.3 | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
61.2 | 49.6 | |
| 15:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
47.1 | 46.1 | |
| 15:30 | |
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 3.591Mln | -0.680Mln | -12.157Mln |
Friday 05 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-0.1% | -0.2% | |
| 07:00 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.2% | -2.5% |
| 07:45 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.5% | -0.5% | -2.1% | |
| 07:45 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-7.579Bln EU | -7.987Bln EU | |
| 09:00 | |
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.10% | +0.4% | |
| 09:00 | |
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
-1.90% | +0.4% | |
| 10:00 | |
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | +0.3% |
| 10:00 | |
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.2% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| 13:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% |
| 13:30 | |
Average Earnings |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 | |
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
272k | 190k | 206k |
| 13:30 | |
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
216K | 191K | 206K |
| 13:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% |
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