Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 01/11/21
Monday 01 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.0 | 53.2 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.4% | 1.8% | -0.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.1% | 0.6% | -2.5% |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 57.7 | 57.7 | 57.8 | |
| 13:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 57.0 | 57.7 | ||
| 14:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
61.1 | 60.5 | 60.8 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
61.1 | 60.5 |
Tuesday 02 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | 0.10% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 59.7 | 59.7 | 61.1 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.5 | 53.5 | 53.6 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 58.2 | 58.2 | 57.8 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 58.5 | 58.5 | 58.3 |
Wednesday 03 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
10.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% |
| 09:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
1.76 | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 58.0 | 58.0 | 59.1 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.5% | 7.4% | +7.4% |
| 12:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
568k | 400k | 571k |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
62.3 | 69.8 | |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
53.0 | 51.6 | |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
77.5 | 82.9 | |
| 14:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
61.9 | 62.0 | 66.7 |
| 14:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
63.5 | 69.7 | |
| 14:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 4.267Mln | 2.225Mln | 3.291Mln | |
| 18:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 0.125% | 0.125% | 0 - 0.25% |
Thursday 04 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
15077Mln AU | 12200Mln AU | 12243Mln AU |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
-1% | -2% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
4% | -6% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 55.5 | 54.5 | 52.4 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 56.6 | 56.6 | 56.6 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 52.4 | 52.4 | 52.4 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 54.3 | 54.3 | 54.2 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 54.7 | 54.7 | 54.6 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
13.4% | 15.2% | +16.0% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.1% | 2.2% | +2.7% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 6 | 7 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 3 | 2 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | 0.1% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 875Bln GB | 875Bln GB | 875Bln GB | |
| 12:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-73.3Bln US | -80.5Bln US | -80.9Bln US |
| 12:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
281k | 275k | 269k |
| 12:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.94Bln CA | 1.55Bln CA | +1.86Bln CA |
Friday 05 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
1.7% | 0.9% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-4.0% | 1.0% | -1.1% |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 1.0% | 0.0% | -1.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.40% | +0.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.90% | +5.3% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.0% | 1.5% | +2.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | -0.3% |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% |
| 12:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| 12:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 12:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
194k | 450k | 531k |
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