Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 01/10/18
Monday 01 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
24 | 22 | 22 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
21 | 22 | 19 |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.9 | 52.5 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | 0.4% | -0.1% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.1 | 50.3 | 50.0 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.5 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.7 | 53.7 | 53.7 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.3 | 53.3 | 53.2 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.8 | 52.5 | 53.8 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 56.8 | 54.8 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
61.3 | 60.1 | 59.8 |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 02 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
1.50% | 1.50% | 1.50% |
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
43.3 | 43.4 | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 03 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 52.6 | 52.8 | 53.3 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 54.3 | 54.3 | 54.8 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 56.5 | 56.5 | 55.9 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 54.2 | 54.2 | 54.1 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 54.7 | 54.7 | 54.7 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 54.3 | 54.0 | 53.9 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 0.2% | -0.2% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
163k | 185k | 230k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
58.5 | 58.0 | 61.6 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
60.4 | 61.6 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
56.7 | 62.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
62.8 | 64.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
60.7 | 60.3 | 65.2 |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 1.852Mln | 1.985Mln | 7.975Mln |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 04 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Exports |
|
-1% | 1% | |
| 02:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
1551Mln AU | 1400Mln AU | 1604Mln AU |
| 02:30 |
|
Imports |
|
0% | 0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
214k | 210k | 207k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 05 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-3.49Bln EU | -4.50Bln EU | -5.60Bln EU |
| 08:30 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | -1.4% |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.10% | 0.70% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
-0.60% | 2.20% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.11Bln CA | 0.53Bln CA | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-50.1Bln US | -53.5Bln US | -53.2Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
201k | 185k | 134k |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% |
Corporate Statements
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