Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 01/09/25
Monday 01 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.9 | 49.7 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.6% | 0.2% | -0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.8 | 49.8 | 50.4 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.9 | 49.9 | 50.4 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.9 | 49.9 | 49.8 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.7 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.3 | 47.3 | 47.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
Tuesday 02 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 1.6% | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.1 | 48.3 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
48.0 | 49.0 | 48.7 |
Wednesday 03 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
GDP Final Year on Year |
|
1.3% | 1.6% | +1.8% |
| 02:30 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.2% | 0.5% | +0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 52.3 | 52.0 | 51.5 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 49.7 | 49.7 | 49.8 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 50.1 | 50.1 | 49.3 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 51.1 | 51.1 | 51.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 50.7 | 50.7 | 50.5 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 53.6 | 53.6 | 54.2 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-4.8% | -1.4% | -1.3% |
Thursday 04 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.3% | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.1% | 2.4% | +2.2% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
104k | 65k | 54k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-5.86Bln CA | -4.75Bln CA | -4.94Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
229k | 230k | 237k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-60.2Bln US | -75.7Bln US | -78.3Bln US |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
52.6 | 53.0 | 55.0 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
50.3 | 56.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
69.9 | 69.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
46.4 | 46.5 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
50.1 | 51.0 | 52.0 |
| 17:00 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -2.392Mln | -2.031Mln | 2.415Mln |
Friday 05 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
2.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.9% | 0.2% | 0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-7.623Bln EU | -5.56Bln EU | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.00% | +1.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.60% | +0.0% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Year on Year |
|
0.7% | 0.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Year on Year |
|
1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
73k | 75k | 22k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
79K | 75K | 22K |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
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