Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/08/21
Monday 02 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.2 | 53.0 | ||
| 06:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
37.4 | 37.5 | |
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
4.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-2.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 62.2 | 61.5 | 60.3 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 58.1 | 58.1 | 58.0 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 65.6 | 65.6 | 65.9 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 62.6 | 62.6 | 62.8 | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 60.4 | 60.4 | 60.4 | |
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
60.6 | 60.9 | 59.5 |
Tuesday 03 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | 0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
9.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 56.5 | 56.2 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% |
Wednesday 04 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
-1.8% | -1.8% | -1.8% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 56.7 | 58.3 | 58.0 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 57.0 | 57.0 | 56.8 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 62.2 | 62.2 | 61.8 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 60.4 | 60.4 | 59.8 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
13.30% | +7.7% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 60.6 | 60.6 | 60.2 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.20% | +0.7% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 57.8 | 57.8 | 59.6 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
9.0% | 4.5% | +5.0% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
4.6% | 1.7% | +1.5% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
692k | 695k | 330k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
49.3 | 53.8 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
62.1 | 63.7 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
79.5 | 82.3 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
60.1 | 60.5 | 64.1 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
60.4 | 60.6 | 67.0 |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -4.089Mln | -3.102Mln | 3.626Mln |
Thursday 05 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Imports |
|
3% | +1% | |
| 02:30 |
|
Exports |
|
6% | +4% | |
| 02:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
9681Mln AU | 10450Mln AU | 10496Mln AU |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.3% | 0.6% | +0.5% | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | 0.10% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 8 | 8 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 875Bln GB | 875Bln GB | 875Bln GB | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
400k | 373k | 385k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.39Bln CA | -0.68Bln CA | 3.23Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-71.0Bln US | -74.1Bln US | -75.7Bln US |
Friday 06 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-0.5% | 0.4% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.5% | -1.3% |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.80Bln EU | -5.819Bln EU | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
21.1% | 13.9% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
-1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
850k | 870k | +943k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% |
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