Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/11/26
Monday 02 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.3 | 53.3 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.3% | 0.4% | -2.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.4% | -2.3% | |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.4 | 50.2 | 49.4 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.3 | 49.3 | 49.5 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.2 | 54.2 | 54.2 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.4 | 52.4 | 52.7 | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.8 | 52.8 | 52.8 | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.5 | 49.6 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.5 | 54.5 | 55.5 |
Tuesday 03 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.60% | 4.85% | 4.85% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% |
Wednesday 04 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 51.7 | 51.5 | 52.0 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 48.4 | 48.4 | 46.2 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 51.7 | 51.7 | 52.5 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 51.9 | 51.9 | 51.7 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 51.7 | 51.7 | 51.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 53.1 | 53.1 | 52.8 | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
90k | 69k | 86k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-105.6Bln US | -108.0Bln US | -105.0Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
4.20Bln CA | 4.10Bln CA | +5.35Bln CA |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.9 | 54.8 | 54.5 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
74.0 | 73.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
59.8 | 55.9 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
50.1 | 51.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
56.5 | 53.8 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -1.892Mln | 0.877Mln | -0.865Mln |
Thursday 05 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.3% | 0.3% | -0.5% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.30% | +0.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
0.50% | +1.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
8.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 3 | 7 | 9 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
3.75% | 4.00% | 4.0% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 6 | 2 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Friday 06 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
2.0% | 0.0% | +0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.0% | 0.1% | -0.6% |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.122Bln EU | -7.314Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.1% | -0.1% | -0.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
29k | 65k | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.5% | 6.5% |
Monday 09 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
5.0% | 5.3% | |
| 01:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (China) |
|
0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
19.5Bln EU | 19.4Bln EU | |
| 23:30 |
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
-4.7% |
Tuesday 10 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
1.0% | ||
| 06:30 |
|
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
8.3% | 8.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.7% | ||
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.6% | 0.3% |
Wednesday 11 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.80% | 2.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
-1.3% | 0.7% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
0.0% |
Thursday 12 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year | 1.4% | 1.9% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
1.6% | 3.0% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
1.2% | -0.5% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
3.0% | 3.8% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-18.007Bln GB | ||
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.8% | -0.3% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-5.287Bln GB | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Existing Home Sales |
|
3.99Mln | 3.86Mln |
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