Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/12/13
Monday 02 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:43 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.7 | 50.9 | 51.4 | |
| 08:48 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.8 | 47.8 | 48.4 | |
| 08:53 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.7 | |
| 08:58 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.5 | 51.5 | 51.6 | |
| 09:28 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 56.0 | 56.0 | 58.4 | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 55.6 | 55.3 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
56.4 | 55.0 | 57.3 |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 03 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
0.80% | 0.6% | |
| 00:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.8% | 0.4% | +0.5% |
| 03:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
2.50% | 2.50% | 2.50% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | -0.2% | -0.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-0.9% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 04 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.6% | +2.3% |
| 00:30 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.8% | +0.6% |
| 08:43 |
|
PMI Services | 50.5 | 50.2 | 47.2 | |
| 08:48 |
|
PMI Services | 48.8 | 48.8 | 48.0 | |
| 08:53 |
|
PMI Services | 54.5 | 54.5 | 55.7 | |
| 08:58 |
|
PMI Composite | 51.5 | 51.5 | 51.7 | |
| 08:58 |
|
PMI Services | 50.9 | 50.9 | 51.2 | |
| 09:28 |
|
PMI Services | 62.5 | 62.0 | 60.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.3% | 0.9% | -0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.0% | -0.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Year on Year |
|
-0.4% | -0.4% | -0.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
130k | 173k | 215.0k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.44bln C$ | -0.73bln C$ | +0.075bln C$ |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-41.8bln $ | -40.0bln $ | -40.64bln $ |
| 15:00 |
|
BoC Rate Decision | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
56.2 | 52.5 | |
| 15:00 |
|
New Home Sales-Units Month on Month |
|
0.354mln | 0.428mln | 0.444mln |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
59.7 | 59.6 | 55.5 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
55.4 | 55.0 | 53.9 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
56.1 | 52.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
56.8 | 56.4 |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 05 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-284mln AU | -375mln AU | -529mln AU |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
0.0% | 0% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
-1.0% | +1% | |
| 06:30 |
|
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
10.90% | 10.9% | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 375bln GB | 375bln GB | 375.0bln GB | |
| 12:45 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Prices |
|
1.4% | 1.4% | +1.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Prices |
|
1.9% | 1.9% | +2.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
316k | 325k | 298k |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Consumer Spending |
|
1.5% | +1.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Sales |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | +1.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP |
|
2.8% | 3.0% | +3.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Corporate Profits |
|
3.5% | 3.0% | +2.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
GDP Deflator |
|
1.9% | 1.9% | +2.0% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.7% | -1.0% | -0.9% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 06 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.5% | 0.8% | |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-5.8bln EU | -4.7bln EU | |
| 08:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.7% | 0.6% | +1.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | -0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.2% | +1.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
204k | 180k | +203k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.1% | +0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
0.9% | +0.7% | |
| 14:55 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
88.0 | 90.0 | 97.9 |
| 14:55 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
66.8 | 68.0 | 72.7 |
| 14:55 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
75.1 | 76.0 | 82.5 |
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