Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/02/15
Monday 02 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:35 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.1 | 52.2 | ||
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.4ip | 48.8ip | 49.9ip | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.5ip | 49.5ip | 49.2ip | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.0ip | 51.0ip | 50.9ip | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.0ip | 51.0ip | 51.0ip | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.5ip | 52.6ip | 53.0ip | |
| 13:30 | 
|
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | -0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.4% | +1.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | +0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.2% | +0.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.7% | -0.1% | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.9 | 51.0 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
55.1ip | 54.5ip | 53.5ip |
| 18:00 |
|
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
1.5% | 0.7% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 03 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Imports |
|
1.0% | -1% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
1.0% | +1% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-925mln mo | -775mln mo | -436mln mo |
| 03:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
2.50% | 2.50% | 2.25% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.6% | -2.5% | -2.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | -0.7% | -1.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 0.8% | -0.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | -0.5% | -1.6% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.7% | -2.2% | -3.4% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 04 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 49.4ip | 50.0ip | 51.2ip | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 49.5ip | 49.5ip | 49.4ip | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 52.7ip | 52.7ip | 54.0ip | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 52.2ip | 52.2ip | 52.6ip | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 52.3ip | 52.3ip | 52.7ip | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 55.8ip | 56.3ip | 57.2ip | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
241k pers | 225k pers | 213.0k pers |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
56.5ip | 56.3ip | 56.7ip |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
58.6ip | 57.6ip | 61.5ip |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
49.8 | 45.5 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
55.7 | 51.6 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
59.2 | 59.5 |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 05 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.1% | 0.4% | +0.2% |
| 08:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.9% | 0.1% | +2.0% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 375bln GB | 375bln GB | ||
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-39.0bln mo | -38.0bln mo | -46.56bln mo |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
265k pers | 290k pers | 278k pers |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.64bln mo | -1.20bln mo | -0.65bln mo |
Corporate Statements
Friday 06 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-3.2bln EU | -3.4bln EU | |
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-2.649bln mo | -3.00bln mo | -3.796bln mo |
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-8.848bln mo | -9.10bln mo | -10.154bln mo |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
252k pers | 234k pers | +257k pers |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
-0.2% | 0.3% | +0.5% |
Corporate Statements
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