Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/06/25
Monday 02 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.0 | 49.4 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.3 | 49.6 | 49.2 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.5 | 49.5 | 49.8 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.8 | 48.8 | 48.3 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.4 | 49.4 | 49.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.1 | 45.1 | 46.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.3% | 0.0% | ||
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.3 | 46.1 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
48.7 | 49.5 | 48.5 |
Tuesday 03 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
4.3% | -3.1% | -3.7% |
Wednesday 04 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 | 
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.4% | +0.2% |
| 02:30 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year |
|
1.3% | 1.5% | +1.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 52.9 | 52.0 | 53.2 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 47.4 | 47.4 | 48.9 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 47.2 | 47.2 | 47.1 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 48.9 | 48.9 | 49.7 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 49.5 | 49.5 | 50.2 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 50.2 | 50.2 | 50.9 | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
62k | 110k | 37k |
| 14:45 |
|
BoC Rate Decision | 2.75% | 2.75% | ||
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
65.1 | 68.7 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
53.7 | 50.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
49.0 | 50.7 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
51.6 | 52.0 | 49.9 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
52.3 | 46.4 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -2.795Mln | -1.035Mln | -4.304Mln |
Thursday 05 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.50% | +0.7% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
-2.80% | +3.7% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-1.6% | -1.8% | -2.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
1.9% | 1.2% | +0.7% |
| 13:15 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
2.40% | 2.15% | 2.15% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
240k | 235k | 247k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-140.5Bln US | -70.0Bln US | -61.6Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.51Bln CA | -1.50Bln CA | -7.14Bln CA |
Friday 06 June
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
3.0% | -1.0% | -1.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.5% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
21.1Bln EU | 20.0Bln EU | +14.6Bln EU |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.3% | -0.1% | -0.4% |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.2% | 0.2% | -1.4% | |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-6.248Bln EU | -7.968Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.5% | 1.3% | +2.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Year on Year |
|
1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
158K | 126K | 139K |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
177k | 130k | 139k |
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