Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/03/15

Monday 02 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   51.5 51.6
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 6.8% 6.1% +5.7%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.3% 0.3% -0.1%
PMI Manufacturing   49.9ip 50.3ip 51.9ip
PMI Manufacturing   47.7ip 47.7ip 47.6ip
PMI Manufacturing   50.9ip 50.9ip 51.1ip
PMI Manufacturing   51.1ip 51.1ip 51.0ip
Unemployment Rate   12.9% 12.9% 12.6%
PMI Manufacturing   53.0ip 53.4ip 54.1ip
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 11.4% 11.4% 11.2%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 0.7% +0.2%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart -0.2% -0.5%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.3% +1.3%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.4% +0.3%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart -0.1% +0.3%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.1% +0.1%
PMI Manufacturing   51.0 48.7
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 53.5ip 53.0ip 52.9ip
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 0.7% -0.3%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Compass Diversified Holdings, Emerge Energy Services, Graftech International Ltd, Hercules Technology Growth, MBIA Inc, Newcastle Investment, Palo Alto Networks (All Sessions), Sotheby's, The Progressive
Flag of Great Britain
Alent, Allergy Therapeutics, Dialight, HellermannTyton Group, Intertek Group, Keller Group, Thorntons, Trinity Mirror

Tuesday 03 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 2.25% 2.00% 2.25%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 4.0% 2.7% 5.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.4% 2.9%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.7% -3.0% -3.4%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -1.0% -0.7% -0.9%
GDP Quarter on Quarter GDP Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.7% +0.6%
GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised GDP Quarter on Quarter Annualised Chart 2.8% 2.0% +2.4%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -1.6% -0.7% -0.4%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -0.5% -2.2%
GDP Month on Month GDP Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.2% +0.3%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Autozone Inc, Best Buy Co Inc, Dicks Sporting, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Veeva Systems
Flag of Great Britain
Clinigen, Costain Group, Direct Line Insurance Group, Filtronic, Fisher(James)& Sons, ISG, Jardine Lloyd Thompson Group, Johnson Service Group, Moneysupermarket.com Group, GE Aerospace (All Sessions), Stagecoach Group, Travis Perkins, Tullett Prebon, Vesuvius

Wednesday 04 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.5% +0.5%
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 2.7% 2.5% +2.5%
PMI Services   51.2ip 51.4ip 50.0ip
PMI Services   53.4ip 53.4ip 53.4ip
PMI Services   55.5ip 55.5ip 54.7ip
PMI Services   53.9ip 53.9ip 53.7ip
PMI Composite   53.5ip 53.5ip 53.3ip
PMI Services   57.2ip 57.5ip 56.7ip
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.3% 0.1% 1.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.8% 1.9% 3.7%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 213k pers 220k pers 212.0k pers
BoC Rate Decision   0.75%
BoC Rate Decision   0.75% 0.75% 0.75%
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.7ip 56.5ip 56.9ip
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 61.5ip 61.0ip 59.4ip
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 51.6 56.4
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 59.5 56.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 45.5 49.7

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
4imprint Group, Advanced Medical Solutions Grp, Capital & Regional, Carillion, CLS Holdings, Dignity, Greggs, ITV, Legal & General Group, Lookers, Melrose Industries, Novae Group, Sportech, Standard Chartered
Flag of the USA
Aberc Fitch A, American Eagle, Autonation Inc, Brown Forman B, EW Scripps, H & R Block Inc, Polypore International, Roundy's Inc, Speedway Motor

Thursday 05 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Exports Chart 1.0% +1%
Imports Imports Chart -1.0% +3%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -436mln mo -950mln mo -980mln mo
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.2% 0.4% +0.4%
ILO Unemployment Rate ILO Unemployment Rate Chart 10.40% 10.4%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 2.0% -0.2% -0.3%
GDP Final Year on Year   -0.3% -0.3% -0.5%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.50% 0.50% 0.5%
BoE QE Total   375bln GB 375bln GB
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 0.05% 0.05%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 313k pers 295k pers 320k pers
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -3.4% 0.2% -0.2%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Alon USA Energy, Coopers Cos Inc, Esterline Technologies, Gap Inc, Joy Global Inc, Methode Electronics, Quiksilver
Flag of Great Britain
Aggreko, Arrow Global, Aviva, Betfair Group, Cobham, Communisis, CSR, Empresaria, Genel Energy, H&T Group, Headlam Group, Hunting, Inmarsat, London Stock Exchange Group, Management Consulting Group, Crest Nicholson, Schroders, Spirax-Sarco Engineering

Friday 06 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.5% 0.6%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -3.4bln EU -3.726bln EU
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -1.8% -2.9%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.7% -1.1%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -46.6bln mo -41.7bln mo -41.8bln mo
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 257k pers 240k pers 295k pers
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -0.65bln mo -1.00bln mo -2.45bln mo
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.7% 5.6% 5.5%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Big Lots Inc, Foot Locker
Flag of Great Britain
Aga Rangemaster Group, Marshalls

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