Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/11/20
Monday 02 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.0 | 48.7 | ||
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.2 | 53.5 | 53.8 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.0 | 51.0 | 51.3 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 58.0 | 58.0 | 58.2 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 54.4 | 54.4 | 54.8 | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.3 | 53.3 | 53.7 | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 56.0 | 55.5 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
55.4 | 55.8 | 59.3 |
Tuesday 03 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
0.25% | 0.10% | 0.1% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
Wednesday 04 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
-4.0% | -1.5% | -1.1% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 48.8 | 47.0 | 46.7 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 46.5 | 46.5 | 46.5 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 48.9 | 48.9 | 49.5 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 49.4 | 49.4 | 50.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 46.2 | 46.2 | 46.9 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 52.3 | 52.3 | 51.4 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | +0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.5% | -2.4% | -2.4% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
749k | 650k | 365k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-2.45Bln CA | -2.60Bln CA | -3.25Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-67.1Bln US | -63.8Bln US | -63.9Bln US |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
57.8 | 57.5 | 56.6 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
59.0 | 63.9 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
61.5 | 58.8 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
63.0 | 62.0 | 61.2 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
51.8 | 50.1 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 4.320Mln | 0.890Mln | -7.998Mln |
Thursday 05 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
2% | -6% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
-4% | +4% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
4607Mln AU | 4500Mln AU | 5630Mln AU |
| 07:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
| 07:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 07:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 725Bln GB | 825Bln GB | 875Bln GB | |
| 07:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | 0.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
3.7% | 2.8% | +2.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
4.4% | -1.0% | -2.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
751k | 738k | 751k |
| 19:00 |
|
FOMC Rate Decision | 0.125% | 0.125% | 0 - 0.25% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 06 November
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-7.71Bln EU | -6.32Bln EU | -5.75Bln EU |
| 08:30 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
1.6% | 0.5% | +0.3% |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
8.20% | -0.8% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
0.80% | +1.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
9.0% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
661k | 600k | 638k |
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