Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/10/23
Monday 02 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
5 | 6 | 9 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
23 | 24 | 27 |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.6 | 48.5 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
-5.3% | -5.7% | -5.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.8% | -0.4% | 0.0% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.4 | 45.7 | 46.8 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 43.6 | 43.6 | 44.2 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 39.8 | 39.8 | 39.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 43.4 | 43.4 | 43.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.2 | 44.2 | 44.3 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.0 | 47.5 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
47.6 | 47.8 | 49.0 |
Tuesday 03 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.10% | 4.10% | 4.10% |
Wednesday 04 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | 
|
RBNZ Rate Decision |
|
5.50% | 5.50% | 5.50% |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 49.8 | 50.0 | 49.9 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 43.9 | 43.9 | 44.4 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 49.8 | 49.8 | 50.3 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 47.1 | 47.1 | 47.2 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 48.4 | 48.4 | 48.7 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 47.2 | 47.2 | 49.3 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-1.0% | -1.2% | -2.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-7.6% | -11.6% | -11.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | -0.3% | -1.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
177k | 153k | 89k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
54.7 | 53.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
57.5 | 51.8 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.5 | 53.6 | 53.6 |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-2.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
57.3 | 56.5 | 58.8 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
58.9 | 58.9 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -2.170Mln | -0.446Mln | -2.224Mln |
Thursday 05 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 |
|
Imports |
|
3% | 0% | |
| 01:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
8039Mln AU | 8725Mln AU | 9640Mln AU |
| 01:30 |
|
Exports |
|
-2% | 4% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
15.9Bln EU | 15.0Bln EU | 16.6Bln EU |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.8% | -0.4% | -0.3% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
204k | 210k | 207k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-65.0Bln US | -62.3Bln US | -58.3Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.99Bln CA | -1.50Bln CA | 0.72Bln CA |
Friday 06 October
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-1.9% | -0.4% | |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-8.089Bln EU | -8.202Bln EU | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.70% | 2.40% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.40% | -0.40% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
187k | 170k | 336k |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
227K | 170K | 336K |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
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