Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 03/08/15


Monday 03 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   51.4 51.2
PMI Manufacturing   54.1 53.9 55.3
PMI Manufacturing   49.6 49.6 49.6
PMI Manufacturing   51.5 51.5 51.8
PMI Manufacturing   52.2 52.2 52.4
PMI Manufacturing   51.4 51.5 51.9
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 0.2% +0.3%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.3% +0.2%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.2% +1.3%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% 0.1% +0.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.3% +0.4%
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.6% 0.0%
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 53.5 53.5 52.7
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.3%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Allstate Cp, Alon USA Energy, American International Group, Boardwalk Pipeline, Brookdale Senior Living Inc., Clorox Co, Delek, Diamond Offshore, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust, Gen Growth Prop, General Motors (All Sessions), Hill International, Loews Corp, MDU Resources, NextEra Energy (All Sessions), Nisource Inc, Noble Energy, Omega Healthcare Investors, PPL Corp, QEP Resources, Regal-Beloit, RSP Permian, Tenet Healthcare, Vornado Realty

Tuesday 04 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Exports Chart 1.0% +3%
Imports Imports Chart -4.0% +4%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -2751mln AU -3100mln AU -2933mln AU
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.3% 0.5% +0.7%
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 2.00% 2.00% 2%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.2% 0.4% +0.4%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.3% 3.5% +3.5%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.0% -0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.0% -2.2% -2.2%
PMI Manufacturing   51.3 50.8
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -1.0% 1.8% +1.8%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Aetna Inc, Alleghany Corp, American Financial, American States Water Co, Ametek Inc, Autonation Inc, Beazer Homes, Care.com, Cobalt International Energy, Inc, Coeur D'Alene, Convergys Cp, CVS Caremark Crp, DaVita, Devon Energy, Emerson Electric, Entergy, Entertainment Prop Tr, EPAM Systems, Exterran Holding, Genworth Finl, Harman Intl Inds, HCP, Health Care REIT, Inc., Invensense, KBR, Kellogg Co, Lending Club Corp, Louisiana Pacific, Mallinckrodt, MBIA Inc, MGM Mirage, Mosaic, Newfield Exploration Company, NRG Energy, Och-Ziff Capital Management, Parker Drilling, Pioneer Natural Resources, Planet Payment, Red Lion Hotels, Scotts Miracle Gro, Scripps Networks Interactive, Sempra Energy, Sprint Nextel, Targa Resources, Two Harbors Inv Corp, Vulcan Materials, Western Refining, Zoetis Inc.
Flag of Great Britain
Direct Line Insurance Group, Just Eat, Meggitt, Pendragon, SDL, Travis Perkins

Wednesday 05 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Services   53.4 53.0 52.0
PMI Services   52.0 52.0 52.0
PMI Services   53.7 53.7 53.8
PMI Services   53.8 53.8 54.0
PMI Composite   53.7 53.7 53.9
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.9% -0.3% -1.1%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart 3.0% -0.3%
PMI Services   58.5 58.0 57.4
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.4% 1.9% 1.2%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.3% -0.6%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 237k 215k 185.0k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -3.34bln C$ -2.80bln C$ -0.48bln C$
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -41.9bln $ -42.8bln $ -43.84bln $
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 53.0 53.7
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 58.3 63.8
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 52.7 59.6
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 61.5 61.0 64.9
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 56.0 56.2 60.3

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Aerohive Networks, Alliant Energy Corp, American Water Works Co, Annaly Capital Management Inc, CBS Corp, Centurytel Inc, CF Industries, Chesapeake Energy, Clean Harbors, Compass Diversified Holdings, Continental Res, Corrections Corp of America, Denbury Resources, Dominion Res Inc, Dun and Bradstreet Corporation, Energy Transfer Partners, FitBit, FMC Corporation, General Cable, Goodrich Petroleum Corp., Harsco Corporation, HCA Inc, Healthcare Realty Trust, HollyFrontier, Input/Output, Intercontinental Exchange, Leucadia National Corporation, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Motorola Solutions, Opko Health Inc, Polo Ralph Lauren, Quanta Services, Rayonier Inc, Silver Bay Realty Trust, Spectra Energy, Spectrum Brands Holdings, Tesoro Corp, The Progressive, Time Warner, Urban Edge Properties, Weightwatchers, WellCare Health Plans
Flag of Great Britain
BBA Aviation, Frontier IP Group, Legal & General Group, London Stock Exchange Group, Luxfer Holdings, Novae Group, Soco International, Spirax-Sarco Engineering, Spirent Communications, Standard Chartered, Unite Group

Thursday 06 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.0% 6.0% 6.3%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 1.7% -0.6%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 2.1% 2.2% +1.5%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -0.6% 0.2% +0.2%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart 1.0% 0.4% +0.5%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.1% -0.4%
MPC Vote For Rate Cut   0 0 0
BoE QE Total   375bln GB 375bln GB
MPC Vote For Rate Hike   0 2 1
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged   9 7 8
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.50% 0.50% 0.5%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 267k 273k 270k

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
3D Systems Corp, Air Lease Corporation, Aircastle, Amerus, Apache Corp, Becton Dickinsn, Calgon Carb, Consol Edison, Cooper Tire & Rubber, Duke Energy (All Sessions), Emerge Energy Services, EOG Resources, Gain Capital, Hecla Mining, Hercules Technology Growth, Imperva, Koppers Holdings, Marathon Oil, Mohawk Inds, National Fuel Gas Co., NorthStar Realty Finance Corp, Nu Skin Enterprises, NY Times, Sally Beauty Holdings, Spirit Realty Capital Inc, Sunstone HTL, Teradata Corporation
Flag of Great Britain
Aggreko, Aviva, Enterprise Inns, GW Pharmaceuticals, Inmarsat, Kennedy Wilson Real Estate, Old Mutual, Rio Tinto, RSA Insurance Group

Friday 07 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.3% -1.4%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 22.8bln EU 21.5bln EU 22.0bln EU
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -4.0bln EU -2.7bln EU
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.4% 0.2% -0.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -8.000bln GB -9.30bln GB -9.184bln GB
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -1.570bln GB -2.40bln GB -1.620bln GB
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.0% 0.2% +0.2%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 223k 223k +215k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.8% 6.8% 6.8%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.3% 5.3% 5.3%
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 2.3% 2.1%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Cablevision Systems, EW Scripps, Harris Corporation, Hershey Co, Sotheby's, Universal American Corp, WhiteWave Foods Co.
Flag of Great Britain
Bellway, JPMorgan American IT, William Hill

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