Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 03/08/15
Monday 03 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:35 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | 51.2 | ||
| 07:45 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 54.1 | 53.9 | 55.3 | |
| 07:50 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 49.6 | 49.6 | 49.6 | |
| 07:55 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 51.5 | 51.5 | 51.8 | |
| 08:00 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 52.2 | 52.2 | 52.4 | |
| 08:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 51.4 | 51.5 | 51.9 | |
| 12:30 | |
PCE Price Index Year on Year |
|
0.2% | +0.3% | |
| 12:30 | |
PCE Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.3% | +0.2% | |
| 12:30 | |
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year |
|
1.2% | +1.3% | |
| 12:30 | |
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | +0.1% |
| 12:30 | |
Personal Income Month on Month |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | +0.4% |
| 12:30 | |
Personal Spending Real Month on Month |
|
0.6% | 0.0% | |
| 14:00 | |
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.5 | 53.5 | 52.7 |
| 17:00 | |
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.3% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 04 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | |
Exports |
|
1.0% | +3% | |
| 01:30 | |
Imports |
|
-4.0% | +4% | |
| 01:30 | |
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-2751mln AU | -3100mln AU | -2933mln AU |
| 01:30 | |
Retail Sales |
|
0.3% | 0.5% | +0.7% |
| 04:30 | |
RBA Cash Rate |
|
2.00% | 2.00% | 2% |
| 06:00 | |
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
-0.2% | 0.4% | +0.4% |
| 06:00 | |
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
3.3% | 3.5% | +3.5% |
| 09:00 | |
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.0% | -0.1% |
| 09:00 | |
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.0% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 13:30 | |
PMI Manufacturing | 51.3 | 50.8 | ||
| 14:00 | |
Factory Orders |
|
-1.0% | 1.8% | +1.8% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 05 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 | |
PMI Services | 53.4 | 53.0 | 52.0 | |
| 07:50 | |
PMI Services | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.0 | |
| 07:55 | |
PMI Services | 53.7 | 53.7 | 53.8 | |
| 08:00 | |
PMI Services | 53.8 | 53.8 | 54.0 | |
| 08:00 | |
PMI Composite | 53.7 | 53.7 | 53.9 | |
| 08:00 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.9% | -0.3% | -1.1% |
| 08:00 | |
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
3.0% | -0.3% | |
| 08:30 | |
PMI Services | 58.5 | 58.0 | 57.4 | |
| 09:00 | |
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| 09:00 | |
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.2% | -0.3% | -0.6% |
| 12:15 | |
ADP employment report |
|
237k | 215k | 185.0k |
| 12:30 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-3.34bln C$ | -2.80bln C$ | -0.48bln C$ |
| 12:30 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-41.9bln $ | -42.8bln $ | -43.84bln $ |
| 14:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
53.0 | 53.7 | |
| 14:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
58.3 | 63.8 | |
| 14:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
52.7 | 59.6 | |
| 14:00 | |
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
61.5 | 61.0 | 64.9 |
| 14:00 | |
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
56.0 | 56.2 | 60.3 |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 06 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
| 07:00 | |
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
1.7% | -0.6% | |
| 08:30 | |
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 2.2% | +1.5% |
| 08:30 | |
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 08:30 | |
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 0.4% | +0.5% |
| 08:30 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.1% | -0.4% |
| 11:00 | |
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11:00 | |
BoE QE Total | 375bln GB | 375bln GB | ||
| 11:00 | |
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| 11:00 | |
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 7 | 8 | |
| 11:00 | |
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 12:30 | |
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
267k | 273k | 270k |
Corporate Statements
Friday 07 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.3% | -1.4% |
| 06:00 | |
Trade Balance |
|
22.8bln EU | 21.5bln EU | 22.0bln EU |
| 06:45 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-4.0bln EU | -2.7bln EU | |
| 06:45 | |
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.2% | -0.1% | |
| 08:30 | |
Trade Balance |
|
-8.000bln GB | -9.30bln GB | -9.184bln GB |
| 08:30 | |
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-1.570bln GB | -2.40bln GB | -1.620bln GB |
| 12:30 | |
Average Earnings |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 12:30 | |
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
223k | 223k | +215k |
| 12:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% |
| 12:30 | |
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| 17:00 | |
Dallas Fed PCE |
|
2.3% | 2.1% |
Corporate Statements
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