Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 03/08/20
Monday 03 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 42.6 | 45.2 | ||
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.5 | 51.2 | 51.9 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.4 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.0 | 50.0 | 51.0 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.1 | 51.1 | 51.8 | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 53.6 | 53.6 | 53.3 | |
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
52.6 | 53.6 | 54.2 |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 04 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:00 | 
|
Imports |
|
-6% | 1% | |
| 02:00 |
|
Exports |
|
-4% | 3% | |
| 02:00 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
8025Mln AU | 8800Mln AU | 8202Mln AU |
| 02:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
16.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% |
| 05:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-5.0% | -3.9% | -3.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.8 | 52.9 | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
8.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 05 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 46.4 | 51.1 | 51.6 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 57.8 | 57.8 | 57.3 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 56.7 | 56.7 | 55.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 54.8 | 54.8 | 54.9 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 55.1 | 55.1 | 54.7 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 56.6 | 56.6 | 56.5 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
17.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-5.1% | -0.5% | 1.3% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
2369k | 1500k | 167k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.68Bln CA | -0.90Bln CA | -3.19Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-54.6Bln US | -50.1Bln US | -50.7Bln US |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
62.4 | 57.6 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
66.0 | 60.0 | 67.2 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
43.1 | 42.1 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
61.6 | 67.7 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
57.1 | 55.0 | 58.1 |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -10.612Mln | -3.001Mln | -7.373Mln |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 06 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.10% | 0.10% | 0.10% |
| 07:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
| 07:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 07:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 07:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 725Bln GB | 725Bln GB | 725Bln GB | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
-20.3% | -16.8% | -13.7% |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
42.1% | 5.1% | 8.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
1435k | 1415k | 1186k |
Corporate Statements
Friday 07 August
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
7.6Bln EU | 10.1Bln EU | 14.5Bln EU |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 19.6% | 8.9% | 12.7% | |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-7.05Bln EU | -7.96Bln EU | |
| 08:30 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-0.1% | 1.6% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.505Bln EU | 1.557Bln EU | |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
-1.2% | -0.5% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
4800k | 1600k | 1763k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
12.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
11.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% |
Corporate Statements
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