Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 03/08/26


Monday 03 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   54.7 54.5
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.8% -0.2%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 1.1% -0.1% -1.1%
PMI Manufacturing   52.2 52.3 51.3
PMI Manufacturing   50.0 50.0 49.8
PMI Manufacturing   52.2 52.2 52.2
PMI Manufacturing   52.0 52.0 51.9
PMI Manufacturing   52.8 52.8 51.9
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 53.3 54.0

Tuesday 04 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 2.20%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.20%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -77.6Bln US -73.0Bln US
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 4.24Bln CA 3.00Bln CA
PMI Manufacturing   53.0
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -1.3% 0.2%

Wednesday 05 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.1% 0.2%
PMI Services   50.2 52.0
PMI Services   49.8 49.8
PMI Services   49.6 49.6
PMI Composite   51.9 51.9
PMI Services   51.6 51.6
PMI Services   51.8 51.8
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 5.9% 4.6%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.2% -0.2%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 98k 70k
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 55.1
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 55.4
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 51.2
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 67.7
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 54.0 54.5
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -7.167Mln

Thursday 06 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart -0.3% 0.2%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart 1.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.6% 1.0%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.2%

Friday 07 August

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
ILO Unemployment Rate ILO Unemployment Rate Chart 8.1%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 0.2%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.9% 0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 19.1Bln EU 17.4Bln EU
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.928Bln EU
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 57k 83k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.5% 6.5%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.2% 4.3%

MARKET ANALYSIS

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