Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 03/12/12
Monday 03 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 08:43 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.5 | 46.0 | 45.1 | |
| 08:48 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.7 | 44.7 | 44.5 | |
| 08:53 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.8 | 46.8 | 46.8 | |
| 08:58 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.2 | 46.2 | 46.2 | |
| 09:28 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 47.5 | 48.0 | 49.1 | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.39 | 50.38 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
51.7 | 51.3 | 49.5 |
Tuesday 04 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
-0.10% | 0.90% | 0.4% |
| 03:30 |
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
3.25% | 3.00% | 3.00% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| 14:00 |
|
BoC Rate Decision | 1.00% | 1.00% | 1.0% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 05 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | +0.5% |
| 00:30 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year |
|
3.7% | 3.1% | +3.1% |
| 08:43 |
|
PMI Services | 46.0 | 45.9 | 44.6 | |
| 08:48 |
|
PMI Services | 46.1 | 46.1 | 45.8 | |
| 08:53 |
|
PMI Services | 48.0 | 48.0 | 49.7 | |
| 08:58 |
|
PMI Services | 45.7 | 45.7 | 46.7 | |
| 08:58 |
|
PMI Composite | 45.8 | 45.8 | 46.5 | |
| 09:28 |
|
PMI Services | 50.6 | 51.1 | 50.2 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | -0.1% | -1.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.8% | -0.8% | -3.6% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
158k | 125k | 118.0k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
65.6 | 57.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
54.8 | 58.1 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
54.9 | 50.3 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
55.4 | 55.0 | 61.2 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.2 | 53.5 | 54.7 |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
4.8% | 0.0% | +0.8% |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 06 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% |
| 06:30 |
|
ILO Unemployment Rate |
|
10.20% | 10.3% | |
| 08:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-0.7% | 0.2% | +1.0% |
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-8.37bln GB | -8.80bln GB | -9.539bln GB |
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-3.97bln GB | -4.20bln GB | -4.532bln GB |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
-0.1% | -0.1% | -0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Year on Year |
|
-0.6% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 375bln | 375bln | 375bln | |
| 12:45 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.75% | 0.75% | 0.75% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
393k | 380k | 370k |
Corporate Statements
Friday 07 December
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-1456mln AU | -2050mln AU | -2088mln AU |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
-1% | 0.0% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
-2% | 3.0% | |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-5.0bln EU | -4.7bln EU | |
| 09:30 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
-1.0% | -0.2% | -2.1% |
| 09:30 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
0.1% | -0.2% | -1.3% |
| 09:30 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-2.6% | -0.6% | -3.0% |
| 09:30 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-1.7% | 0.7% | -0.8% |
| 11:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-1.8% | -0.5% | -2.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
171k | 93k | +146k |
| 14:55 |
|
Univ Michigan Sentiment |
|
82.7 | 82.4 | 74.5 |
| 14:55 |
|
Univ Michigan Expectation |
|
77.6 | 78.0 | 64.6 |
| 14:55 |
|
Univ Michigan Conditions |
|
90.7 | 91.0 | 89.9 |
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