Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 03/02/25
Monday 03 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.8% | -0.7% | -0.1% |
| 00:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.8 | 48.7 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year | 0.9% | |||
| 07:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.2 | 46.8 | 46.3 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.3 | 45.3 | 45.0 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 44.1 | 44.1 | 45.0 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.1 | 46.1 | 46.6 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.2 | 48.2 | 48.3 | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.2 | 51.6 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
49.3 | 49.8 | 50.9 |
Tuesday 04 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.1% | ||
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.4% | -0.7% | -0.9% |
Wednesday 05 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.2% | -0.1% | -0.4% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 50.7 | 50.5 | 50.4 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 48.9 | 48.9 | 48.2 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 52.5 | 52.5 | 52.5 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 50.2 | 50.2 | 50.2 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.40% | 0.60% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.3 | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
1.10% | 0.60% | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 51.2 | 51.2 | 50.8 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
1.6% | 0.5% | +0.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.2% | -0.1% | 0.0% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
122k | 150k | 183k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.32Bln CA | 0.75Bln CA | 0.71Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-78.2Bln US | -96.6Bln US | -98.4Bln US |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
54.1 | 54.3 | 52.8 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
54.2 | 51.3 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
58.2 | 54.5 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
64.4 | 60.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
51.4 | 52.3 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 3.463Mln | 1.962Mln | 8.664Mln |
Thursday 06 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.2% | 1.9% | +1.9% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 3 | 8 | 9 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
4.75% | 4.50% | 4.5% |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 6 | 1 | 0 | |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
207k | 213k | 219k |
Friday 07 February
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
19.7Bln EU | 17.0Bln EU | +20.7Bln EU |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
1.5% | -0.6% | -2.4% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
-0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.1% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.1% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-7.085Bln EU | -3.905Bln EU | |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
323K | 169K | 143K |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
256k | 170k | 143k |
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