Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 03/07/23
Monday 03 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
Tankan Big Manufacturers Index |
|
1 | 3 | 5 |
| 00:50 |
|
Tankan Big Non-Manufacturers Index |
|
20 | 22 | 23 |
| 01:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.8 | 49.8 | ||
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.9 | 45.3 | 43.8 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 45.5 | 45.5 | 46.0 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 41.0 | 41.0 | 40.6 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 43.6 | 43.6 | 43.4 | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 46.2 | 46.2 | 46.5 | |
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
46.9 | 47.0 | 46.0 |
Tuesday 04 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | 
|
RBA Cash Rate |
|
4.10% | 4.35% | 4.1% |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
18.4Bln EU | 17.0Bln EU | +14.4Bln EU |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.0 | 48.8 |
Wednesday 05 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.8% | -0.2% | +1.2% | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 54.0 | 53.0 | 52.2 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 48.0 | 48.0 | 48.0 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 54.1 | 54.1 | 54.1 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 52.4 | 52.4 | 52.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 50.3 | 50.3 | 49.9 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 53.7 | 53.7 | 53.7 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
1.0% | -1.3% | -1.5% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-3.2% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Thursday 06 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
11158Mln AU | 10500Mln AU | 11791Mln AU |
| 02:30 |
|
Imports |
|
2% | +2% | |
| 02:30 |
|
Exports |
|
-5% | +4% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-2.6% | -2.7% | -2.9% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
278k | 228k | 497k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
1.94Bln CA | 1.15Bln CA | -3.44Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-74.6Bln US | -69.0Bln US | -69.0Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
239k | 245k | 248k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
52.9 | 55.5 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
51.5 | 51.9 | 59.2 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
56.2 | 54.1 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
49.2 | 53.1 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
50.3 | 51.0 | 53.9 |
| 16:00 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -9.603Mln | -0.983Mln | -1.508Mln |
Friday 07 July
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.3% | 0.0% | -0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.0% | -0.1% | |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-9.710Bln EU | -8.418Bln EU | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
3.20% | +3.0% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.20% | +0.7% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
339k | 225k | 209k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
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