Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 03/03/25

Monday 03 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   48.9 49.0
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.3%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.4%
Current Account Current Account Chart -18.099Bln GB
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 0.9%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart -0.2%
PMI Manufacturing   46.3 46.8 47.4
PMI Manufacturing   45.5 45.5 45.8
PMI Manufacturing   46.1 46.1 46.5
PMI Manufacturing   47.3 47.3 47.6
PMI Manufacturing   46.4 46.4 46.9
Money Supply M4   0.1% 1.3%
PMI Manufacturing   51.6 47.8
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 50.9 50.8 50.3
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 2.4% 2.4% 2.5%

Tuesday 04 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart -0.1% 0.3% 0.3%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 35.2 35.0
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.4%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.3%
Current Account Current Account Chart -18.099Bln GB
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 0.9%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart -0.2%
Unemployment Rate   6.2% 6.3% 6.3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.2%

Wednesday 05 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 0.8% 1.2% 1.3%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.3% 0.5% 0.6%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.3%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.4%
Current Account Current Account Chart -18.099Bln GB
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart -0.2%
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.4% 0.3% -0.6%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 0.9%
PMI Services   50.4 50.9 53.0
PMI Services   44.5 44.5 45.3
PMI Services   52.2 52.2 51.1
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
GDP Final Year on Year   0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
PMI Composite   50.2 50.2 50.2
PMI Services   50.7 50.7 50.6
PMI Services   51.1 51.1 51.0
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.5% 0.8%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.60% -0.40%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart 0.0% 1.4% 1.8%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 0.60% 0.90%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 183k 140k 77k
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -0.9% 1.6% 1.7%
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 52.3 53.9
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 54.5 54.4
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 60.4 62.6
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 52.8 52.6 53.5
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 51.3 52.2
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   -2.332Mln 0.341Mln 3.614Mln

Thursday 06 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Current Account Current Account Chart -18.099Bln GB
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.4%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart -0.2%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 0.9%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.2% 0.1% -0.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.9% 1.9% 1.5%
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 2.90% 2.65% 2.65%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -98.4Bln US -127.4Bln US -131.4Bln US
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 242k 235k 221k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 0.71Bln CA 1.28Bln CA 3.97Bln CA

Friday 07 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 3.9%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart 0.4%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 0.7% 0.3% -0.1%
Current Account Current Account Chart -18.099Bln GB
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -3.905Bln EU -6.540Bln EU
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 0.9% 0.9% 1.2%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 111K 159K 151K
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.6% 6.7% 6.6%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.0% 4.0% 4.1%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.5% 0.3% 0.3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 4.0% 4.0% 4.1%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 143k 160k 151k

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