Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 04/12/23

Monday 04 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 16.5Bln EU 17.1Bln EU 17.8Bln EU
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 2.8% -2.8% -3.6%

Tuesday 05 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 2.6% 2.6%
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 4.35% 4.35% 4.35%
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.5% 0.2% -0.3%
PMI Services   47.7 48.2 49.5
PMI Services   45.3 45.3 45.4
PMI Services   48.7 48.7 49.6
PMI Composite   47.1 47.1 47.6
PMI Services   48.2 48.2 48.7
PMI Services   50.5 50.5 50.9
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -12.4% -9.5% -9.4%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 51.8 52.0 52.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 58.6 58.3
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 50.2 50.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 54.1 55.1
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 55.5 55.5

Wednesday 06 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 2.1% 1.8% 2.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -2.9% -1.1% -1.2%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 113k 130k 103k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 2.04Bln CA 1.60Bln CA 2.97Bln CA
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -61.5Bln US -64.2Bln US -64.3Bln US
BoC Rate Decision   5.00% 5.00% 5.00%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.609Mln -1.354Mln -4.632Mln

Thursday 07 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Imports Imports Chart 8% -2%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 6786Mln AU 7500Mln AU 7129Mln AU
Exports Exports Chart -1% 0%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 1.1% 0.5%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.4% 0.2% -0.4%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -8.917Bln EU -8.597Bln EU
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart -2.0% -1.1%
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 0.0% -0.3% -0.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 1.30% 0.30%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.4% 1.3%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.1% -0.1% -0.1%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart -0.30% 0.40%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 218k 222k 220k
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart -0.5% -0.5% -0.7%

Friday 08 December

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 150K 180K 199K
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.9% 3.9% 3.7%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.9% 3.9% 3.7%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.2% 0.3% 0.4%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 150k 180k 199k

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