Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 04/01/16

Monday 04 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   52.5 52.6
PMI Manufacturing   54.9 55.0 55.6
PMI Manufacturing   51.6 51.6 51.4
PMI Manufacturing   53.0 53.0 53.2
PMI Manufacturing   53.1 53.1 53.2
PMI Manufacturing   52.7 52.7 51.9
CPI Final Month on Month   0.1% 0.2% -0.1%
PMI Manufacturing   48.6 47.5
ISM Manufacturing PMI ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart 48.6 49.0 48.2

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
TR European Growth Trust

Tuesday 05 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.3% 6.3% 6.3%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -13k -6k -14k
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart -0.4% -0.2%
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.5% 0.0% -0.2%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Commercial Metals, Baillie Gifford Japan Trust

Wednesday 06 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 96 95 96
PMI Services   53.4 53.6 55.3
PMI Services   50.0 50.0 49.8
PMI Services   55.4 55.4 56.0
PMI Composite   54.0 54.0 54.3
PMI Services   53.9 53.9 54.2
PMI Services   55.9 55.6 55.5
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -3.1% -3.1% -3.2%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.3% -0.2% -0.2%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 217k 192k 257.0k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -43.9bln $ -44.0bln $ -42.37bln $
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -2.76bln C$ -2.60bln C$ -1.99bln C$
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 57.5 58.2
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 58.2 58.4 58.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 50.3 49.7
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 55.0 55.7
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 1.5% -0.2% -0.2%
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 55.9 56.0 55.3

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Topps Tiles
Flag of the USA
Autonation Inc, Monsanto, MSC Industrial Direct

Thursday 07 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Exports Chart -3.0% +1%
Imports Imports Chart 0.0% -1%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -3305mln AU -3100mln AU -2906mln AU
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.1% 2.4% 2.3%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart -0.2% 0.5% +1.7%
Unemployment Rate   11.5% 11.5% 11.3%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -5.9 -5.7 -5.7
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 12.8 12.8 13.1
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -3.2 -2.9 -2.0
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 106.1 106.1 106.8
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.36 0.40 0.41
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.5% 2.0% 1.4%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.2% -0.3%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 10.7% 10.5%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 287k 275k 277k

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Caledonia Investments, Majestic Wine, Marks & Spencer Group, Persimmon, Poundland
Flag of the USA
Barnes & Noble Education, Inc, Barracuda Networks, Inc, Constellation A, Gap Inc, KB Home

Friday 08 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.5% 0.4% +0.4%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.5% -0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 20.8bln EU 20.0bln EU 19.7bln EU
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.5% -0.4% -0.9%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -4.58bln EU -3.95bln EU -4.63bln EU
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -3.729bln GB -3.00bln GB -2.450bln GB
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -11.827bln GB -10.50bln GB -10.642bln GB
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 211k 200k +292k
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.1% 7.1% 7.1%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Spire Healthcare
Flag of the USA
Acuity RM Group Plc

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