Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 04/01/21
Monday 04 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.7 | 50.0 | ||
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.5 | 53.7 | 52.8 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 51.1 | 51.1 | 51.1 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 58.6 | 58.6 | 58.3 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 55.5 | 55.5 | 55.2 | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 57.3 | 57.3 | 57.5 | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 55.8 | 57.9 |
Tuesday 05 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
2.6% | -2.0% | 1.9% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
8.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
-39k | 10k | -37k |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.4% | -0.6% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
0.7% | 0% | |
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
57.5 | 56.6 | 60.7 |
Wednesday 06 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
33.7 | 31.8 | |
| 07:45 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
90 | 91 | 95 |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 39.4 | 45.3 | 39.7 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49.1 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 47.7 | 47.5 | 47.0 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 49.8 | 49.8 | 49.1 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 47.3 | 47.3 | 46.4 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 49.9 | 49.9 | 49.4 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.0% | -2.2% | -1.9% |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
307k | 88k | -123k |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -6.065Mln | -2.133Mln | -8.010Mln |
Thursday 07 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
7456Mln AU | 6000Mln AU | 5022Mln AU |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
5% | 3% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
1% | 10% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
4.3% | 0.8% | -2.9% |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-10.1 | -8.1 | -7.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.63 | -0.41 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
87.6 | 90.0 | 90.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-13.9 | -13.9 | -13.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
-17.3 | -15.0 | -17.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
1.5% | -3.4% | -6.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
787k | 780k | 787k |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-63.1Bln US | -65.2Bln US | -68.1Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-3.76Bln CA | -3.50Bln CA | -3.34Bln CA |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
51.5 | 48.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
55.9 | 54.6 | 57.2 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
58.0 | 55.0 | 59.4 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
66.1 | 64.8 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
57.2 | 58.5 |
Friday 08 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
18.2Bln EU | 16.4Bln EU | |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
3.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 1.6% | -1.0% | -0.9% | |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-4.85Bln EU | -3.56Bln EU | |
| 08:30 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 9.8% | 8.9% | ||
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
245k | 71k | -140k |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% |
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