Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 04/03/24


Tuesday 05 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 1.4% 1.0%
Industrial Production Month on Month   1.1% -0.1% -1.1%
PMI Services   51.2 52.3 52.2
PMI Services   48.0 48.0 48.4
PMI Services   48.2 48.2 48.3
PMI Services   50.0 50.0 50.2
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
GDP Final Year on Year   0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
PMI Composite   48.9 48.9 49.2
PMI Services   54.3 54.3 53.8
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.8% -0.1% -0.9%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -10.6% -8.1% -8.6%
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 64.0 58.6
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 0.2% -2.9% -3.6%
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 55.0 56.1
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 55.8 57.2
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 53.4 53.0 52.6
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 50.5 48.0

Wednesday 06 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
GDP Final Year on Year GDP Final Year on Year Chart 2.1% 1.4% +1.5%
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter GDP Final Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.3% +0.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 22.2Bln EU 21.5Bln EU +27.5Bln EU
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -0.8% -1.3% -1.0%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -1.1% 0.1% +0.1%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 107k 150k 140k
BoC Rate Decision   5.00% 5.00% 5.0%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   4.199Mln 2.116Mln 1.367Mln

Thursday 07 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 1.3% 0.4%
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -62.2Bln US -63.5Bln US -67.4Bln US
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 215k 215k 217k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -0.31Bln CA 0.10Bln CA 0.50Bln CA

Friday 08 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -1.2% 0.2% +0.2%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -8.6% -6.6% -4.4%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.6% 0.6% +1.0%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -6.829Bln EU -7.388Bln EU
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -16.0% -10.7%
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.9% -1.7%
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 1.3% 1.3% 1.2%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.7% 3.7% 3.9%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.7% 5.8% 5.8%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 256K 198K 275K
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 353k 200k 275k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.7% 3.7% 3.9%

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