Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 04/11/13


Monday 04 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.4% 0.3% +0.8%
PMI Manufacturing   50.8 51.0 50.7
PMI Manufacturing   49.4 49.4 49.1
PMI Manufacturing   51.5 51.5 51.7
PMI Manufacturing   51.3 51.3 51.3
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -0.1% 1.7% +1.7%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Biome Technologies, HSBC Hldgs, TeleCity Group
Flag of the USA
American States Water Co, Anadarko, Autonation Inc, CF Industries, Develop Diver, Dun and Bradstreet Corporation, General Cable, Kellogg Co, Marathon Oil, Newfield Exploration Company, Petrohawk Energy, Pioneer Natural Resources, Red Lion Hotels, Spectra Energy, Sysco Corp, Tenet Healthcare, Unum Group, Vulcan Materials

Tuesday 05 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 0.70% 1.10% 0.8%
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%
PMI Services   60.3 59.8 62.5
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart 0.0% 0.2% 0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -0.8% -0.7% -0.9%
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 57.2 56.1
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 59.6 56.8
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 52.7 56.2
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 54.4 54.0 55.4
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 55.1 55.1 59.7

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
4imprint Group, Balfour Beatty, First Derivative, G4S, Hilton Food Group, InterContinental Hotels Group, Kofax, Marks & Spencer Group, Next Fifteen Com
Flag of the USA
Ashland Inc, Becton Dickinsn, Calgon Carb, CBL & Associates Properties, DaVita, Denbury Resources, Dominion Res Inc, Emerson Electric, Energy Transfer Partners, Entertainment Prop Tr, Exterran Holding, Firstenergy, HCA Inc, Health Care REIT, Inc., Hecla Mining, Host Hotels & Resorts, Intercontinental Exchange, Intl Flav & Frag, Louisiana Pacific, Mosaic, Office Depot, Officemax, QEP Resources, Quicksilver Resources, SandRidge Energy, Sempra Energy, Sturm and Ruger Co, Two Harbors Inv Corp, WPX Energy, Zoetis Inc.

Wednesday 06 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Exports Exports Chart 3.0% 0%
Imports Imports Chart 1.0% -1%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -815mln AU -450mln AU -284mln AU
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 0.3% 0.9% +0.7%
PMI Services   52.7 51.2 50.5
PMI Services   50.2 50.2 50.9
PMI Services   52.3 52.3 52.9
PMI Services   50.9 50.9 51.6
PMI Composite   51.5 51.5 51.9
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -1.2% 1.1% +1.2%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart -0.2% 0.7% +0.8%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -1.5% 1.8% +2.2%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.1% 0.5% +0.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.7% -0.4% -0.6%

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
American Water Works Co, Brookdale Senior Living Inc., CBS Corp, CenterPoint Energy, Centurytel Inc, Chesapeake Energy, Clean Harbors , Coeur D'Alene, Continental Res, Corrections Corp of America, Duke Energy (All Sessions), HollyFrontier, Hospira, Integrys Energy, Marsh&McLennan, Metals USA Hldgs Corp, Molson Coors Br, Parker Drilling, Pepco Holdings, Polo Ralph Lauren, Silver Bay Realty Trust, Tesoro Corp, Time Warner, US Silica Holdings Inc
Flag of Great Britain
Alent, Egdon Resources, FirstGroup, Goldplat, Lancashire Holdings

Thursday 07 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.6% 5.7% 5.7%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 1.4% -0.2% -0.9%
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.50% 0.50% 0.5%
BoE QE Total   375bln GB 375bln GB 375bln GB
ECB Rate Decision ECB Rate Decision Chart 0.50% 0.50% 0.25%
GDP GDP Chart 2.5% 2.0% +2.8%
GDP Deflator GDP Deflator Chart 0.6% 1.4% +1.9%
PCE Core Prices PCE Core Prices Chart 0.6% 1.5% +1.4%
PCE Prices PCE Prices Chart -0.1% 2.0% +1.9%
GDP Sales GDP Sales Chart 2.1% 1.8% +2.0%
GDP Consumer Spending GDP Consumer Spending Chart 1.8% +1.5%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 340k 335k 336k

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
ADVFN, Cable & Wireless Communications, Grainger, Halfords Group, Inmarsat, London Mining, Morgan Sindall Group, Morrison(WM.)Supermarkets, Reed Elsevier, RSA Insurance Group, Spirax-Sarco Engineering, Supergroup, Wetherspoon(J.D.), Wincanton
Flag of the USA
Air Lease Corporation, Alliant Energy Corp, Alon USA Energy, Amerus, Beazer Homes, CareFusion Corporation, Convergys Cp, EOG Resources, Gap Inc, Harsco Corporation, Hercules Technology Growth, Molycorp, Rockwell Automation, Roundy's Inc, Scotts Miracle Gro, Scripps Networks Interactive, Stillwater Mining Company, The AES Corp, Walt Disney (All Sessions)

Friday 08 November

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Dallas Fed PCE Dallas Fed PCE Chart 1.6%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 15.6bln EU 15.5bln EU 18.8bln EU
Industrial Production Month on Month   0.2% 0.1% -0.5%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -4.9bln EU -4.8bln EU -5.8bln EU
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -4.35bln GB -4.00bln GB -3.845bln GB
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -9.63bln GB -9.20bln GB -9.816bln GB
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 193.6k 190.8k 198.3k
Personal Spending Real Month on Month Personal Spending Real Month on Month Chart 0.2% +0.1%
Personal Income Month on Month Personal Income Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.3% +0.5%
PCE Core Price Index Year on Year PCE Core Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.2% +1.2%
PCE Price Index Month on Month PCE Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.1% +0.1%
PCE Core Price Index Month on Month PCE Core Price Index Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.1% +0.1%
PCE Price Index Year on Year PCE Price Index Year on Year Chart 1.2% +0.9%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 148k 125k +204k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.9% 7.0% 6.9%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.1% 0.2% +0.1%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.2% 7.3% 7.3%
Univ Michigan Conditions Univ Michigan Conditions Chart 89.9 90.0 87.2
Univ Michigan Sentiment Univ Michigan Sentiment Chart 73.2 74.5 72.0
Univ Michigan Expectation Univ Michigan Expectation Chart 62.5 64.0 62.3

Corporate Statements

Flag of the USA
Cablevision Systems, EW Scripps, McDonalds (All Sessions)
Flag of Great Britain
Bovis Homes Group, Hikma Pharmaceuticals, Novae Group, Tullett Prebon

MARKET ANALYSIS

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