Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 05/01/15


Monday 05 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
PMI Manufacturing   52.1 52.0
CPI Final Month on Month   0.0% 0.2% 0.0%

Corporate Statements


Tuesday 06 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart -1323mln AU -925mln AU
Exports Exports Chart 2.0% +1%
Imports Imports Chart -2.0% +1%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart 87 88 90
PMI Services   51.8ip 52.0ip 49.4ip
PMI Services   49.8ip 49.8ip 50.6ip
PMI Services   51.4ip 51.4ip 52.1ip
PMI Composite   51.7ip 51.7ip 51.4ip
PMI Services   51.9ip 51.9ip 51.6ip
PMI Services   58.6ip 58.5ip 55.8ip
Industrial PPI Month on Month Industrial PPI Month on Month Chart -0.5% -0.7% -0.4%
Industrial PPI Year on Year Industrial PPI Year on Year Chart 2.5% 1.9%
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid Chart 54.4 49.5
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders Chart 61.4 58.9
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment ISM Non Manufacturing Employment Chart 56.7 56.0
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI Chart 59.3ip 58.0ip 56.2ip
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart -0.7% -0.5% -0.7%
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity Chart 64.4ip 63.5ip 57.2ip

Corporate Statements


Wednesday 07 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.7% -0.8%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 1.9% 0.0% 1.0%
Unemployment Change (sa) Unemployment Change (sa) Chart -14k pers -6k pers -27k pers
Unemployment Rate (sa) Unemployment Rate (sa) Chart 6.6% 6.6% 6.5%
Unemployment Rate   13.2% 13.4%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 11.5% 11.5% 11.5%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 208k pers 226k pers 241.0k pers
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 0.10bln mo -0.30bln mo -0.64bln mo
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -43.4bln mo -42.0bln mo -39.00bln mo

Corporate Statements


Thursday 08 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 0.4% 0.3% +0.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 1.4% 1.5%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.1% 0.6%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -1.3% -1.6%
Consumer Confidence Consumer Confidence Chart -11.6 -10.9
PPI Month on Month PPI Month on Month Chart -0.4% -0.3%
Services Sentiment Services Sentiment Chart 4.4 5.6
Industrial Sentiment Industrial Sentiment Chart -4.3 -5.2
Economic Sentiment Economic Sentiment Chart 100.8 100.7
Business Climate Business Climate Chart 0.18 0.04
BoE Rate Decision BoE Rate Decision Chart 0.50% 0.5% 0.5%
BoE QE Total   375bln GB 375bln GB
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 298k pers 290k pers 294k pers

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Caledonia Investments, Dunelm Group, Howden Joinery Group, Marks & Spencer Group, Pendragon, Spirent Communications, Ted Baker, Tesco
Flag of the USA
Aeropostale, Barnes & Noble Education, Inc, Barracuda Networks, Inc, Constellation A, Family Dollar Stores, Gap Inc, Global Payment, Pier 1 Imports

Friday 09 January

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Retail Sales Chart 0.4% 0.2% +0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -2.7% -3.1% -3.3%
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart -0.2% 0.3% 0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 20.6bln mo 20.7bln mo 17.7bln mo
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.2% 0.4% -0.1%
Industrial Production Month on Month   -0.8% 0.3% -0.3%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -4.6bln EU -3.236bln EU
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -9.620bln mo -9.4bln mo -8.848bln mo
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -3.582bln mo -3.45bln mo -2.649bln mo
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart 1.7% 2.3% +2.7%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -0.7% 0.3% +0.7%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart 1.1% 1.6% +1.1%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -0.1% 0.2% -0.1%
House Starts Annualized House Starts Annualized Chart 195.6k 193.5k 180.6k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.8% 5.7% 5.6%
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 321k pers 240k pers +252k pers
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 6.6% 6.6% 6.6%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.4% 0.2% -0.2%

Corporate Statements

Flag of Great Britain
Anglo Pacific Group, H&T Group, Hilton Food Group, Laird, Restaurant Group

MARKET ANALYSIS

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