Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 06/01/14
Monday 06 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:43 | 
|
PMI Services | 47.2 | 48.7 | 47.9 | |
| 08:48 | 
|
PMI Services | 47.4 | 47.4 | 47.8 | |
| 08:53 | 
|
PMI Services | 54.0 | 54.0 | 53.5 | |
| 08:58 | 
|
PMI Services | 51.0 | 51.0 | 51.0 | |
| 08:58 |
|
PMI Composite | 52.1 | 52.1 | 52.1 | |
| 09:28 | 
|
PMI Services | 60.0 | 60.0 | 58.8 | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | +0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
0.8% | +0.3% | |
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
52.2 | 55.1 | |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
-0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
55.5 | 56.5 | 55.2 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
52.5 | 55.8 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
56.4 | 49.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.9 | 54.5 | 53.0 |
Tuesday 07 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
Exports |
|
0.0% | 0% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
1.0% | -1% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
-529mln AU | -300mln AU | -118mln AU |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.2% | 1.6% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% |
| 07:45 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
84 | 84 | 85 |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Rate (sa) |
|
6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| 08:55 |
|
Unemployment Change (sa) |
|
10k | 0k | -15k |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | -0.1% | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -1.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
0.08bln C$ | -0.14bln C$ | -0.94bln C$ |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-40.6bln $ | -40.0bln $ | -34.25bln $ |
Wednesday 08 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
16.8bln EU | 18.0bln EU | 17.8bln EU |
| 08:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
1.1% | 0.7% | -0.6% |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.7% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
-0.1% | 1.6% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
12.1% | 12.1% | 12.1% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
215k | 200k | 238.0k |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 09 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.5% | 0.3% | +0.7% |
| 01:30 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -1.3% | -1.4% |
| 01:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (China) |
|
-0.1% | 0.4% | +0.3% |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-4.7bln EU | -5.7bln EU | |
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-9.73bln GB | -9.45bln GB | -9.439bln GB |
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-3.25bln GB | -3.50bln GB | -3.023bln GB |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-15.4 | -13.6 | -13.6 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
-0.8 | -0.5 | 0.2 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-3.9 | -3.0 | -3.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
98.5 | 99.1 | 100.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
0.18 | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| 11:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 375bln GB | 375bln GB | 375bln GB | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.50% | 0.50% | 0.5% |
| 12:45 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.25% | 0.25% | 0.25% |
| 13:15 |
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
192.2k | 190.0k | 189.7k |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
339k | 335k | 330k |
Friday 10 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
0.60% | 0.4% | |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 09:30 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 09:30 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
3.2% | 3.1% | +2.5% |
| 09:30 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
2.7% | 3.3% | +2.8% |
| 09:30 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Year on Year |
|
-0.4% | -0.4% | -0.3% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
203k | 196k | +74k |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.2% | 0.2% | +0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% |
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