Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 06/01/20
Monday 06 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.8 | 48.4 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
0.8% | 0.9% | 2.8% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Services | 50.4 | 51.0 | 51.1 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Services | 52.4 | 52.4 | 52.4 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 52.0 | 52.0 | 52.9 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Services | 52.4 | 52.4 | 52.8 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 50.6 | 50.6 | 50.9 | |
| 09:30 | 
|
PMI Services | 49.0 | 49.1 | 50.0 | |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.9% | -1.5% | -1.4% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 | 
|
Industrial PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.3% | -0.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Industrial PPI Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 07 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence | 108.5 | 109.0 | 0.2 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| 13:30 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-47.2Bln US | -43.8Bln US | -43.1Bln US |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-1.08Bln CA | -1.15Bln CA | -1.09Bln CA |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.9 | 54.5 | 55.0 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
58.5 | 58.5 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
57.1 | 54.9 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
55.5 | 55.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
51.6 | 52.0 | 57.2 |
| 15:00 |
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.3% | -0.8% | -0.7% |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 08 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
38.7 | 39.1 | |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-4.73Bln EU | -5.00Bln EU | -5.58Bln EU |
| 07:45 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
106 | 104 | 102 |
| 08:30 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
1.0% | -0.2% | 1.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-8.1 | -8.1 | -8.1 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-9.2 | -9.0 | -9.3 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
9.3 | 9.5 | 11.4 |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.23 | -0.16 | -0.25 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
101.3 | 101.4 | 101.5 |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
67k | 160k | 202k |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -11.463Mln | -3.572Mln | 1.164Mln |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 09 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
-4.9% | 1.7% | |
| 00:30 | 
|
Trade Balance Goods & Services |
|
4502Mln AU | 4150Mln AU | 5800Mln AU |
| 00:30 |
|
Imports |
|
0% | -3% | |
| 00:30 |
|
Exports |
|
-5% | 2% | |
| 01:30 | 
|
CPI Month on Month (China) |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 01:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-1.4% | -0.4% | -0.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
20.6Bln EU | 20.0Bln EU | 18.3Bln EU |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-1.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| 13:15 |
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
201.3k | 210.0k | 197.3k |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
222k | 220k | 214k |
Corporate Statements
Friday 10 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
-2.4% | -0.6% | -0.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
266k | 164k | 145k |
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