Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 06/01/25
Monday 06 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Services | 49.2 | 50.3 | 50.7 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Services | 48.2 | 48.2 | 49.3 | |
| 08:55 | 
|
PMI Services | 51.0 | 51.0 | 51.2 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Composite | 49.5 | 49.5 | 49.6 | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.6 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 51.4 | 51.4 | 51.1 | |
| 13:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | -0.2% | 0.3% | +0.4% | |
| 15:00 | 
|
Factory Orders |
|
0.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% |
| 23:30 | 
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
-2.0% |
Tuesday 07 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:01 |
|
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) |
|
-3.4% | +3.1% | |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
1.3% | 0.4% | -0.2% |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% |
| 13:30 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-0.92Bln CA | -0.90Bln CA | -0.32Bln CA |
| 13:30 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-73.8Bln US | -78.0Bln US | -78.2Bln US |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
58.2 | 64.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
53.7 | 58.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
51.5 | 51.4 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
53.7 | 54.2 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
52.1 | 53.3 | 54.1 |
| 23:30 |
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
-2.0% |
Wednesday 08 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | 
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
36.4 | 36.2 | |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-1.5% | 0.5% | -0.6% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.0% | 1.9% | +2.5% |
| 07:45 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
90 | 89 | 89 |
| 07:45 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
-7.666Bln EU | -7.085Bln EU | |
| 10:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
-14.5 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| 10:00 |
|
Economic Sentiment |
|
95.8 | 95.6 | 93.7 |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Sentiment |
|
-11.1 | -11.7 | -14.1 |
| 10:00 |
|
Services Sentiment |
|
5.3 | 5.8 | 5.9 |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-3.2% | -1.3% | -1.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 1.5% | +1.6% |
| 10:00 |
|
Business Climate |
|
-0.77 | -0.91 | |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
146k | 140k | 122k |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
211k | 218k | 201k |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -1.178Mln | -0.184Mln | -0.959Mln |
Thursday 09 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
0.6% | 1.0% | +0.8% |
| 01:30 | 
|
CPI Month on Month (China) |
|
-0.6% | 0.0% | 0% |
| 01:30 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.5% | -2.4% | -2.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-1.0% | 0.5% | +1.5% |
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
-0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
-0.6% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
0.0% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
13.4Bln EU | 14.8Bln EU | +19.7Bln EU |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.9% | +1.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.4% | +0.1% |
Friday 10 January
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
4.7% | ||
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.7% | ||
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.1% | 0.0% | +0.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.60% | +1.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.50% | -0.4% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% |
| 13:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
227k | 160k | 256k |
| 13:30 |
|
Non-Farm Payrolls |
|
261K | 164K | 256K |
| 13:30 |
|
Average Earnings |
|
0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
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