Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 06/03/23


Monday 06 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -2.8% -1.8% -2.3%
Factory Orders Factory Orders Chart 1.8% -1.8% -1.6%

Tuesday 07 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Retail Sales (Office for National Stats) Chart 3.9% 4.9%
Exports Exports Chart -1% 1%
Trade Balance Goods & Services Trade Balance Goods & Services Chart 12237Mln AU 12500Mln AU 11688Mln AU
Imports Imports Chart 1% 5%
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 3.35% 3.60% 3.60%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart 0.0% -0.3% 1.1%

Wednesday 08 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart -5.3% 2.0% -0.3%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -3.1% 1.4% 3.5%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -3.1% 1.4% 3.5%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -3.1% 1.4% 3.5%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart -6.4% -6.1% -6.9%
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) Chart 3.40% 6.20%
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) Chart -0.20% 1.70%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 1.9% 1.9% 1.8%
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 1.5% 1.5%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 1.9% 1.9% 1.8%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 1.5% 1.5%
Unemployment Year on Year Unemployment Year on Year Chart 1.5% 1.5%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
GDP Revised Year on Year GDP Revised Year on Year Chart 1.9% 1.9% 1.8%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
ADP employment report ADP employment report Chart 106k 200k 242k
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -0.16Bln CA -0.06Bln CA 1.92Bln CA
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -67.4Bln US -68.9Bln US -68.3Bln US
BoC Rate Decision   4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
BoC Rate Decision   4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
BoC Rate Decision   4.50% 4.50% 4.50%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   1.165Mln 0.395Mln -1.694Mln
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter Chart 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Thursday 09 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart 0.8% 0.2% -0.5%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -0.8% -1.3% -1.4%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 190k 195k 211k

Friday 10 March

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 8.7% 8.7% 8.7%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart 0.0% -0.1% -0.4%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart 0.3% -0.1% -0.3%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -7.484Bln GB -7.808Bln GB
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -4.0% -4.0% -4.3%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart -5.7% -5.0% -5.2%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -19.271Bln GB -17.750Bln GB -17.855Bln GB
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -14.90Bln EU -12.94Bln EU
Non-Farm Payrolls Non-Farm Payrolls Chart 517k 205k 311k
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 5.0% 5.1% 5.0%
Average Earnings Average Earnings Chart 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 3.4% 3.4% 3.6%

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