Market Analysis

Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 07/07/25


Monday 07 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.8%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.4% -0.2% +1.2%
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -1.4% -0.2% +1.2%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart -0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.1%
House Price Index UK (Halifax) House Price Index UK (Halifax) Chart -0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.3% 1.3% +1.8%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.1% -0.6% -0.7%
Retail Sales Month on Month Retail Sales Month on Month Chart 0.1% -0.6% -0.7%
Retail Sales Year on Year Retail Sales Year on Year Chart 2.3% 1.3% +1.8%

Tuesday 08 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
RBA Cash Rate RBA Cash Rate Chart 3.85% 3.60% 3.85%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.1%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart 14.6Bln EU 15.5Bln EU +18.4Bln EU
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.8%
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -7.968Bln EU -8.250Bln EU -7.8Bln EU

Wednesday 09 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
CPI Month on Month (China) CPI Month on Month (China) Chart -0.2% -0.1% -0.1%
PPI Year on Year PPI Year on Year Chart -3.3% -3.2% -3.6%
RBNZ Rate Decision RBNZ Rate Decision Chart 3.25% 3.25% 3.25%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.8%
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.1%
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks   3.845Mln -2.071Mln 7.070Mln

Thursday 10 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.1%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.8%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 2.0% 2.0% 2.0%
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) Chart 0.3% 0.2% -0.9%
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) Chart 1.0% 0.0% -0.7%
Weekly Jobless Claims Weekly Jobless Claims Chart 233k 235k 227k

Friday 11 July

Indicator Previous Expected Actual
Trade Balance Trade Balance Chart -23.206Bln GB -21.500Bln GB -21.688Bln GB
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) Chart 2.1%
Industrial Production Year on Year Industrial Production Year on Year Chart -0.3% 0.1% -0.3%
Manufacturing Output Year on Year Manufacturing Output Year on Year Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) Chart -0.8%
Manufacturing Output Month on Month Manufacturing Output Month on Month Chart -0.9% -0.1% -1.0%
Trade Balance Non-EU Trade Balance Non-EU Chart -8.649Bln GB -9.318Bln GB
Industrial Production Month on Month Industrial Production Month on Month Chart -0.6% 0.0% -0.9%
CPI Final Year on Year CPI Final Year on Year Chart 0.8% 0.8% 0.9%
CPI Final Month on Month CPI Final Month on Month Chart 0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Unemployment Rate Unemployment Rate Chart 7.0% 7.1% 6.9%

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