Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 10/09/18
Monday 10 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:50 | 
|
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| 02:30 | 
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
4.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% |
| 02:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (China) |
|
0.3% | 0.5% | +0.7% |
| 09:30 | 
|
Trade Balance |
|
-11.38Bln GB | -11.75Bln GB | -9.973Bln GB |
| 09:30 |
|
Trade Balance Non-EU |
|
-2.94Bln GB | -3.30Bln GB | -2.800Bln GB |
| 09:30 |
|
Manufacturing Output Year on Year |
|
1.5% | 1.5% | +1.1% |
| 09:30 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | +0.1% |
| 09:30 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
1.1% | 1.1% | +0.9% |
| 09:30 |
|
Manufacturing Output Month on Month |
|
0.4% | 0.2% | -0.2% |
Corporate Statements
Tuesday 11 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:30 |
|
Average Weekly Earnings 3 Month Year on Year |
|
2.4% | 2.4% | +2.6% |
| 09:30 |
|
Claimant Count Unemployment Change |
|
6.2k | 10.0k | +8.7k |
| 09:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate (ILO) |
|
4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| 10:00 | 
|
ZEW Current Conditions |
|
72.6 | 72.0 | 76.0 |
| 10:00 |
|
ZEW Economic sentiment |
|
-13.7 | -14.0 | -10.6 |
| 10:00 | 
|
Unemployment Year on Year |
|
1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 13:15 | 
|
House Starts Annualized |
|
206.3k | 210.3k | 201.0k |
Corporate Statements
Wednesday 12 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | 
|
Consumer Sentiment |
|
-2.3% | -3.0% | |
| 09:00 | 
|
Industrial Production Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.5% | -0.4% | -1.8% |
| 09:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year (wda) |
|
1.7% | 1.4% | -1.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.7% | -0.5% | -0.8% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Industrial Production Year on Year |
|
2.5% | 1.0% | -0.1% |
| 15:30 | 
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | -4.302Mln | -0.805Mln | -5.296Mln |
Corporate Statements
Thursday 13 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.0% | 2.0% | +2.0% |
| 07:45 | 
|
CPI Final Month on Month |
|
-0.1% | 0.6% | +0.5% |
| 07:45 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year |
|
2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE QE Total | 435Bln GB | 435Bln GB | 435.0Bln GB | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Cut | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Hike | 9 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12:00 |
|
MPC Vote For Rate Unchanged | 0 | 9 | 9 | |
| 12:00 |
|
BoE Rate Decision |
|
0.75% | 0.75% | 0.75% |
| 12:45 |
|
ECB Rate Decision |
|
0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| 13:30 |
|
Weekly Jobless Claims |
|
203k | 210k | 204k |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Month on Month (sa) |
|
0.2% | 0.3% | +0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
CPI Year on Year (nsa) |
|
2.9% | 2.8% | +2.7% |
Corporate Statements
Friday 14 September
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 |
|
Retail Sales |
|
8.8% | 8.8% | 9% |
| 05:30 |
|
Industrial Production Revised |
|
-0.1% | -0.2% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Year on Year | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | |
| 09:00 |
|
CPI Final Month on Month | 0.1% | -0.1% | -0.2% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Trade Balance |
|
22.5Bln EU | 17.6Bln EU | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.5% | 0.4% | +0.1% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.6% | 0.5% | +0.3% | |
| 14:15 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.3% | +0.4% |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.6% | +0.6% |
Corporate Statements
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